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THE GIST
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Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
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June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
economy-ss-8
Inflation Update: Weak demand softens shocks
July 4, 2025 DOWNLOAD
948 x 535 px AdobeStock_433552847
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed cuts incoming   
June 30, 2025 DOWNLOAD
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Consensus Pricing
Consensus Pricing – June 2025
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Archives: Reuters Articles

Philippines sells $245 million T-bills; 91-day yield down

MANILA, July 25 (Reuters) – Following are the results of the Philippine Bureau of the Treasury’s (BTr) auction of T-bills on Monday:

* BTr awards 13.75 billion pesos ($244.66 million) worth of T-bills, below its 15 billion pesos offer

* Tenders total 38.844 billion pesos

* BTr awards 5 billion pesos of 91-day T-bills at avg rate of 2.273% versus previous auction avg of 2.323%

* BTr awards 5 billion pesos of 182-day T-bills at avg rate of 3.143% versus previous auction avg of 3.083%

* BTr awards 3.75 billion pesos of 364-day T-bills at avg rate of 3.356% versus previous auction avg of 3.258%

* Details are on the BTr’s website www.treasury.gov.ph.

($1 = 56.20 Philippine pesos)

(Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz; Editing by Martin Petty)

Oil rises $2 as dollar eases, market wary of Fed

Oil rises $2 as dollar eases, market wary of Fed

HOUSTON, July 25 (Reuters) – Oil prices rose about USD 2 on Monday, bolstered by supply fears, a dip in the US dollar and early strength in equity markets, but prices seesawed as some worried fuel demand could weaken if the Federal Reserve raises US interest rates too aggressively.

Brent crude futures for September settled up USD 1.95, or 1.9%, at USD 105.15 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose USD 2, or 2.1%, to settle at USD 96.70 a barrel.

“A slightly weaker US dollar and improving equity markets are supporting oil,” UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. After early strength, US stocks moved lower in afternoon trading, with investors cautious about the Fed meeting this week and earnings from several growth companies.

Oil futures have been volatile in recent weeks, pressured by worries that rising interest rates could slow economic activity and fuel demand but supported by tight supply, especially since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Western sanctions on Moscow.

“The US and European economies are slowing and with the Federal Reserve set to raise interest rates again this week, traders remain very cautious,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.

Fed officials have indicated the US central bank would likely raise rates by 75 basis points at its July 26-27 meeting.

China, the world’s second-biggest economy, narrowly missed a contraction in the second quarter, growing just 0.4% year-on-year.

But a steep front-month premium over the second month continues to signal near-term supply tightness. The spread settled at USD 4.82/bbl on Friday, an all-time high when excluding expiry-related spikes in the two previous months.

Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) said it aimed to bring back production to 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in two weeks, from around 860,000 bpd.

But analysts expect Libya’s output to remain volatile as tensions remained high after clashes between rival political factions over the weekend.

Prices drew support from “expectations that Russian oil supply will edge lower in the months ahead as widely-expected plans for a price cap on Russian oil may have the opposite effect on oil prices than hoped for,” said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING.

The European Union said last week it would allow Russian state-owned companies to ship oil to third countries under an adjustment of sanctions agreed by member states last week aimed at limiting the risks to global energy security.

On Friday, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina said Russia would not supply oil to countries that imposed a price cap on its oil.

Russia’s Gazprom said flows through Nord Stream 1, Russia’s single biggest gas link to German, would fall to 33 million cubic meters per day, just 20% of capacity, from 0400 GMT on Wednesday.

That could lead to additional switching to crude from gas, supporting oil prices, said Andrew Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.

(Additional reporting by Rowen Edwards in London, Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo; Editing by Marguerita Choy and David Gregorio)

Philippines’ Udenna pays debt to stem share slide across its network

MANILA, July 25 (Reuters) – Philippine conglomerate Udenna Corp, owned by a close associate of the country’s former president, said on Monday its subsidiary had paid a debt to avert a default on other loans, helping shares in its related firms to stem huge earlier losses.

Udenna, one of the country’s fastest growing companies, said its subsidiary, a land lease firm at the site of a former US military base, had on Monday paid a USD 4 million liability to a government agency and a consortium of banks.

Under existing loan terms, Udenna’s default in one debt could mean a default in other liabilities.

“Udenna settled the matter today, prior to the mandated deadline, and to the satisfaction of the majority lender and the consortium banks,” it said in a statement.

Udenna’s total liabilities rose by nearly half to 254 billion pesos (USD 4.5 billion) in 2020 from 171 billion pesos in 2019, according to the latest available data from the corporate regulator.

Monday’s debt settlement helped shares in Udenna’s four listed firms to recoup some losses, after DITO CME (DITO) fell as much as 9%, Chelsea Logistics (C) sank 16%, Phoenix Petroleum (PNX) dropped 10% and PH Resorts (PHR) retreated as much as 7.5% in Monday morning trades, versus a 1.6% decline of the wider index.

The broader debt was accumulated during a rapid expansion and acquisition binge by owner Dennis Uy after his hometown ally Rodrigo Duterte won the presidency in 2016. Uy was a key campaign donor.

Over the following four years Udenna quadrupled its portfolio to more than 100 firms, in sectors from gaming, shipping, education and construction to fast food, ferries, tourism, telecoms and sports cars.

Udenna and Uy have insisted they received no preferential treatment from Duterte and complied with all laws.

The company has sold some of the assets, including a controlling stake in a South China Sea gas field, to trim debts.

(Reporting by Neil Jerome Morales; Editing by Ed Davies, Martin Petty)

Gold holds steady on lower yields; Fed rate hike looms

Gold holds steady on lower yields; Fed rate hike looms

July 25 (Reuters) – Gold prices steadied on Monday, buoyed by lower Treasury yields and a slight pullback in the dollar, while investors braced for a 75-basis-point interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve this week.

Spot gold was unchanged at USD 1,726.09 per ounce, as of 0646 GMT, after declining 0.3% in early trade. It had hit a more than one-week high on Friday.

US gold futures eased 0.3% to USD 1,722.30 per ounce.

The dollar was down 0.1% against its rivals, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while the benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields hovered near eight-week lows.

“The fall in US yields on the back of global recessionary concerns has underpinned gold,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

“Today, we could be seeing a touch of indecision ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee which is likely to underscore the Fed dilemma of fighting inflation at the expense of growth.”

The main focus this week will be on the US central bank’s two-day policy meeting which concludes on Wednesday, and markets are pricing in a 75 bps rate hike.

Last week, the European Central Bank joined its global peers in the fight against soaring inflation as it raised interest rates by 50 bps and is expected to hike rates until inflation falls back to its 2% target.

Although gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates lift bond yields, raising the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Gold prices have dropped more than USD 350, or 16%, since climbing past the USD 2,000-per-ounce level in early March due to the Fed’s rapid rate hikes and the dollar’s recent rally.

Asian stocks lost ground on Monday, retreating from over three-week highs as worries about a global economic downturn sapped risk appetite.

Spot silver XAG= was down 0.2% at USD 18.56 per ounce, platinum XPT= was steady at USD 873.68, and palladium slipped 2.5% to USD 1,979.94.

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Vinay Dwivedi)

Oil falls on concerns expected Fed hike will impact fuel demand

Oil falls on concerns expected Fed hike will impact fuel demand

TOKYO, July 25 (Reuters) – Oil fell on Monday, reversing earlier gains but continuing a recent losing streak, on concerns that an expected increase in interest rates in the US, the world’s biggest oil user, may limit fuel demand growth.

Brent crude futures for September settlement dropped 48 cents, or 0.5%, to USD 102.72 a barrel at 0205 GMT, down for a fourth day.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for September delivery fell 65 cents, or 0.7%, to USD 94.05 a barrel, also down for a fourth day.

“The market tone is likely to remain bearish amid worries that interest rate hikes would slash global fuel demand and that the resumption of some Libyan crude oil output would ease tightness in global supply,” said Kazuhiko Saito, chief analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co Ltd.

Oil futures have been volatile in recent weeks as traders try to reconcile the possibilities of further interest rate hikes that could limit economic activity, and thus cut fuel demand growth, against tight supply from the disruptions in the trading of Russian barrels because of the Western sanctions amid the Ukraine conflict.

Officials at the US Federal Reserve have indicated that the central bank would likely raise rates by 75 basis points at its July 26-27 meeting.

On the supply side, Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) aims to bring back production to 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in two weeks, NOC said in a statement early on Saturday.

The European Union said last week that it would allow Russian state-owned companies to ship oil to third countries under an adjustment of sanctions agreed by member states last week aimed at limiting the risks to global energy security.

However, Russian Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina said on Friday that Russia will not supply oil to countries that decide to impose a price cap on its oil.

(Reporting by Yuka Obayashi; Editing by Christian Schmollinger)

 

Gold dips as dollar firms, Fed rate hike looms

Gold dips as dollar firms, Fed rate hike looms

July 25 (Reuters) – Gold prices slipped on Monday, as an elevated dollar and prospects of an aggressive interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve this week dented demand for non-yielding bullion.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold was down 0.2% at USD 1,722.84 per ounce, as of 0110 GMT, after rising to a more than one-week high on Friday.

* U.S. gold futures fell 0.5% to USD 1,718.70 per ounce.

* The dollar rose 0.1% against its rivals, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

* The U.S. central bank will conclude a two-day meeting on Wednesday, and markets are pricing in a 75-basis-point rate hike to combat soaring inflation.

* Although gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding bullion.

* U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Sunday that the U.S. economic growth was slowing and she acknowledged the risk of a recession, but she said a downturn was not inevitable.

* Last week, the European Central Bank joined its global peers in the fight against soaring inflation as it raised interest rates by 50 bps.

* The European Central bank will raise its interest rates until inflation falls back to its 2% target, President Christine Lagarde said in an interview with Germany’s Funke Mediengruppe published on Friday.

* Spot silver was down 0.6% at USD 18.48 per ounce, platinum dipped 0.6% to USD 868.62, and palladium slipped 1.5% to USD 1,999.94.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0800 Germany Ifo Business Climate New July

0800 Germany Ifo Curr Conditions New July

0800 Germany Ifo Expectations New July

1000 UK CBI Business Optimism Q3

2350 Bank of Japan releases Minutes of Monetary Policy Meetingheld on June 16 and 17

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

Dollar firm as Fed meeting and growth risks dominate

Dollar firm as Fed meeting and growth risks dominate

SINGAPORE, July 25 (Reuters) – The dollar was on a firm footing on Monday, as traders brace for a sharp US interest rate hike this week and look for safety as data points to a weakening global economy.

The greenback was up slightly against most majors early in the Asia session, trading at USD 1.0195 on the euro EUR=EBS and steadying Friday losses to buy 136.57 Japanese yen.

The US Federal Reserve concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday and markets are priced for a 75-basis-point (bp) rate hike, with about a 9% chance of a 100 bp hike.

“Market reaction will turn on how hawkish Chair (Jerome)Powell sounds with his determination to reduce inflation in the face of slowing growth,” said National Australia Bank currency strategist Rodrigo Catril.

US growth data is also due out Thursday, though markets have already been rattled by a slew of soft business indicators in Europe, which snuffed out a rally in risk assets on Friday.

An energy crisis also hangs over the euro, while the trade-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars, which made one-month highs on Friday, have backed away.

The Aussie edged about 0.5% lower to USD 0.6892 and the kiwi was down by the same margin to USD 0.6223.

Australian consumer price data is due on Wednesday and a hot number could lend support by ramping up bets on rate hikes, though analysts warned the backdrop was mostly negative.

“The Australian dollar will mainly be a function of the world economic outlook,” said Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s head of international economics, Joe Capurso.

“The darkening outlook suggests the Aussie has more downside than upside risk and can test USD 0.6800 this week.”

Sterling GBP=D3 also slipped on Monday, even as markets reckon on a 60% chance the Bank of England would lift rates by 50 bp next week. It was last down 0.3% to USD 1.1970.

Bitcoin hovered at USD 22.278. The dollar rose 0.4% to buy 0.9641 Swiss francs. The US dollar index sat at 106.840, just below a two-decade high made in mid July at 109.290.

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

Oil and interest rate futures point to cyclical downturn before end of 2022: Kemp

Oil and interest rate futures point to cyclical downturn before end of 2022: Kemp

LONDON, July 22 (Reuters) – Recent moves in crude oil and interest rate futures anticipate a downturn in the business cycle that will cause oil consumption to dip before the end of the end of the year and into the first three months of 2023.

Federal funds futures prices imply US interest rates are expected to peak at 3.50-3.75% in the first quarter of 2023, up from 1.50-1.75% at present, before declining around 50 basis points by the end of 2023.

The interest rate path implies that a significant cyclical slowdown will be underway by the end of 2022, bearing down on inflation and allowing the central bank to ease policy to support activity from the second quarter.

Since early June, rising expected interest rates have correlated closely with the softening of Brent calendar spreads from the first and second quarter of 2023 onwards.

Oil futures prices are anticipating slower growth by the end of 2022 – leading to an accumulation of inventories from early 2023 relieving some of the tightness in the market.

Brent’s spread for the first quarter of 2023 has softened to a backwardation of less than USD 3.80 per barrel from more than USD 5.40 in early June.

The spread for the second quarter of 2023 has come in even more sharply to a backwardation of less than USD 2.30 from nearly USD 4.30.

Purchasing managers’ surveys show the manufacturing sector losing momentum in the United States and already contracting in the euro zone.

In the United States, the Institute for Supply Management’s composite manufacturing index slipped to 53.0 in June (53rd percentile for all months since 1980) from 56.1 in May (76th percentile) and 57.6 in January (84th percentile).

The euro zone index has slumped to 49.6 in July (28th percentile for all months since 2006) from 52.1 in June (48th percentile) and 58.7 in January (95th percentile).

The forecast timeline for a slowdown implied by interest rate and oil futures appears reasonable and there are already signs that it is underway.

The only question is whether it is mild enough to count as a mid-cycle soft patch, prolonging the current cycle into 2023 and 2024, or severe enough to end the current cycle and start a new one later in 2023.

The cycle’s evolution depends on (a) the course of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine; (b) sanctions imposed by the United States and European Union in response; (c) the pace of disinflation; and (d) how far consumers and businesses pull back spending in response to higher inflation and a deteriorating economic outlook.

These four factors will determine whether the slowdown is brief and shallow or longer and deeper – and whether the accumulation of petroleum inventories is relatively modest or much larger.

(John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own. Editing by David Evans)

No longer silent, Japan asset managers flex muscle in legacy to Abe

No longer silent, Japan asset managers flex muscle in legacy to Abe

TOKYO, July 25 (Reuters) – Japan’s asset managers nudged the volume up another notch at shareholder meetings this year, increasingly opposing management proposals and adding momentum to a policy of attracting foreign investors initiated by slain former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Nikko Asset Management, Asset Management One and others have become distinct voices in Japan’s new-found activism, countering foreign criticism of asset managers’ rubber-stamp voting.

The pair opposed management at a domestic firm by voting for board nominees proposed by a foreign investor, while in another high-profile case, company management canned a proposal after some asset managers supported a foreign investor’s objection.

This year’s cases add to a gradual change in voting sparked by Abe’s corporate stewardship code in 2014, and which gained impetus in 2017 with a revision requiring the disclosure of voting records for each agenda item at shareholder meetings. Abe was shot and killed this month during an election campaign.

The revision “raised asset managers’ commitment because every manager is held accountable for each voting decision,” said Katsuya Kikuchi, associate director at Tokio Marine Asset Management.

Increased domestic activism is likely to help firms burnish credentials on issues as varied as the environment, society and governance, raising their appeal for foreign investors looking to increase exposure to Japan, asset managers said.

Domestic asset managers have voted “against management in increasing amounts every year for the last five years,” said Seth Fischer, founder of Hong Kong-based Oasis Management, which has invested in Japanese firms including Toshiba Corp.

Still, only a fraction of shareholder proposals gain support from domestic institutional investors. Last year, these investors supported just 6.8% of such proposals on average at shareholder meetings served by electric voting platform operator ICJ, versus 15% among foreign counterparts.

SUPPORTING ROLE

Foreigners lead shareholder activism in Japan with domestic asset managers mainly playing a supportive role, though some investors have said they hope domestic managers will take more initiative and make their own proposals for company management.

Some domestic asset managers supported Oasis which queried related-party transactions at Fujitec Co Ltd 6406.T and opposed a management proposal to nominate its chief executive to the board of directors. The elevator maker withdrew the proposal an hour before its annual shareholder meeting last month.

In another vote this year, Singapore-based 3D Investment Partners’ campaign to bring its nominees onto the board of IT firm Fuji Soft Inc.  received unexpectedly high support of nearly 40%.

Those voting in favour included Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc’s 8306.T Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking, Mizuho Financial Group Inc’s Asset Management One and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc’s Nikko Asset Management.

“Before 2014, we’d hear investee firms moan about foreign investors’ strict voting policies,” said Hidenori Yoshikawa, corporate governance consultant at Daiwa Institute of Research. “But as domestic institutional investors tightened their stance, we now hear investees say domestic investors are stricter.”

Domestic asset managers have been less supportive of company management than some global peers, showed a report by shareholder advisory SquareWell Partners which analysed voting for incumbent director elections at Japan’s 100 biggest firms.

Average support rates from 2019 to 2021 stood at 95.9% at Asset Management One, 94.2% at Nikko Asset Management and 88.9% at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management. That compared with 99.9% and 99.7% at US peers Vanguard and BlackRock respectively.

GREATER SCRUTINY

Still, it is rare for an activist shareholder motion to win approval in Japan where only four cases have been successful, partly as management is often insulated by passive ownership.

But domestic asset managers are increasingly turning on management-protecting schemes, such as takeover defences and cross-shareholding arrangements.

Daiwa Securities Group Inc’s Daiwa Asset Management and other major asset managers this year tightened rules for director voting at firms engaged in cross-shareholding, which still account for about 30% of Japan’s USD 6 trillion stock market.

Also driving change is greater scrutiny from asset owners such as the Government Pension Investment Fund and Pension Fund Association for Local Government Officials, asset managers said.

There is also room for improvement in board independence and diversity, said Takuya Iyoda, chief analyst at Nissay Asset Management. Rules could be tightened to the extent that boards must have a majority of independent directors, he said.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if requirements for diversity eventually expand to include not just women but also non-Japanese.”

(Reporting by Makiko Yamazaki; Editing by Sumeet Chatterjee and Christopher Cushing)

US to host virtual meeting on Tuesday of Indo-Pacific trade, economic ministers

WASHINGTON, July 24 (Reuters) – The United States will host a virtual meeting on Tuesday of officials representing the 14 countries that have joined the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, as Washington seeks to expand its engagement with Asia.

The ministerial meeting will be hosted by US Trade Representative Katherine Tai and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, their offices announced in a statement on Sunday.

President Joe Biden, who launched the IPEF in May on a trip to Tokyo, wants to use it as a way to raise environmental, labor and other standards across Asia.

Washington has lacked an economic pillar to its Indo-Pacific engagement since former President Donald Trump quit a multinational trans-Pacific trade agreement, leaving the field open to China to expand its influence.

In addition to the United States, the IPEF members comprise Australia, Brunei, Fiji, India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

Topics for discussion at Tuesday’s meeting include trade, supply chains, clean energy, infrastructure, taxes and combating corruption, the statement said.

(Reporting by Eric Beech; editing by Diane Craft)

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