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Archives: Reuters Articles

US sustainable funds returned to inflows in June – report

US sustainable funds returned to inflows in June – report

July 19 (Reuters) – Investors resumed deposits into US sustainable funds last month, marking a return to the norm after net withdrawals in May broke a three-year streak of monthly inflows, researcher Morningstar said on Monday.

Sustainable mutual funds and ETFs, including those using environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors, notched a “modest” USD 528 million of net new deposits in June after shedding USD 3.2 billion the month prior, according to Morningstar’s latest figures.

“Investors may have turned back to ESG and renewable energy, thinking that the worst of the downturn was already priced in,” said Alyssa Stankiewicz, Morningstar’s associate director of sustainability research.

Investors’ ESG commitments have been tested this year by the onset of a bear market, driven by rising interest rates and concerns over a potential recession, as well as underperformance by US sustainable funds.

Indeed, the positive flows in June could not reverse a marked slowdown in momentum for sustainable funds during the first half of the year.

Sustainable funds attracted USD 9.0 billion in net new deposits during the six months ended June 30, far below the USD 39.4 billion they gathered during the same period in 2021, according to Morningstar.

Most sustainable funds are equity funds, which have also experienced inconsistent flows this year amid stock market volatility.

US equity funds gathered USD 14.8 billion in net new deposits in June, their fourth month of inflows this year, according to Morningstar.

Investors pulled USD 61 billion overall from US long-term mutual funds and ETFs last month. It was their third consecutive month of outflows, the research firm said.

(Reporting by Cole Horton; Editing by Sam Holmes)

EUR/USD in eye of a storm that could become hurricane

EUR/USD in eye of a storm that could become hurricane

July 19 (Reuters) – The EUR/USD is consolidating a massive sell-off after reaching parity just before the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates substantially on July 27. Should the European Central Bank not match its U.S. counterpart the pair is likely to fall further below parity and with traders badly prepared for that the pace of losses could rapidly accelerate.

EUR/USD has fallen 1.2135-0.9952 EBS since the Federal Reserve signaled a taper at its June meeting in 2021. Speculators have since rarely ventured short and bets on a drop remain negligible, representing no restraint on the decline. Economists have consistently predicted a rally and still are, and there is scarcity of option expiries under 0.9900, suggesting traders are ill-prepared for a deeper drop.

The one-year forward swap has widened from around 90 points in June 2021 to 280 today and if ECB sticks to its plans and only hikes by 25bps this month the interest rate divide will soon widen weighing EUR/USD.

With the Fed shrinking its balance sheet while the ECB’s continues to grow, EUR/USD could soon reach the next tech downside target for the move inspired by the Fed at 0.9688, and could fall well below that by year-end.

(Jeremy Boulton is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own, Editing by Ed Osmond)

Philippines mulls fertiliser deals with China, Russia, others

MANILA, July 19 (Reuters) – The Philippines is looking to strike import deals with some of the world’s biggest fertilizer suppliers, including China and Russia, to help lower costs and increase food production amid high inflation, the government said on Tuesday.

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. plans to reach out to China, Russia, Indonesia, United Arab Emirates and Malaysia to secure fertilizer supplies at favorable prices, according to a statement issued by his office.

Marcos has vowed to boost agricultural output over the next six months, saying he wants the Southeast Asian country to reduce its reliance on food imports and avoid being hit hard by a food crisis looming over the world.

Agriculture officials have warned of higher local prices of rice, the country’s staple food, in the coming months partly due to surging costs of fertilizer, supplies of which have been disrupted by the Russia-Ukraine war. The Philippines imports most of its fertilizer needs.

Partly driven by higher costs of some food items, Philippine inflation averaged 4.4% in the first half of this year, above the official 2%-4% target band, with the June rate of 6.1% being the highest in nearly four years.

Marcos said he was looking to formally inform all five countries of his plan to buy a certain volume.

The Philippines uses 2.5 million tonnes of fertilizers every year, according to the Fertilizer and Pesticide Authority.

(Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz; Editing by Kanupriya Kapoor)

Philippines raises $621 million via 2032 T-bond re-issue; yield down

MANILA, July 19 (Reuters) – Following are the results of the Philippine Bureau of the Treasury’s (BTr) auction of re-issued 2032 T-bonds on Tuesday:

* BTr fully awards 35 billion pesos ($621.23 million) offer

* Tenders total 123.318 billion pesos

* Average yield 6.865% vs previous avg rate 7.145%

* Bonds were originally issued on June 23

* Details are on the BTr’s website www.treasury.gov.ph

(USD 1 = 56.34 Philippine pesos)

(Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz; Editing by Ed Davies)

Oil prices rise on tight supply worries, soft dollar supports

Oil prices rise on tight supply worries, soft dollar supports

July 19 (Reuters) – Oil rose slightly on Tuesday, paring earlier losses and after soaring by more than USD 5 barrel in the previous session, amid concerns about tight supply.

Brent crude futures for September settlement gained 17 cents to USD 106.51 a barrel by 0645 GMT. The contract rose 5.1% on Monday, the biggest percentage gain since April 12.

WTI crude futures for August delivery rose by 36 cent to USD 102.96 a barrel. The contract climbed 5.1% on Monday and the largest percentage gain since May 11.

The August WTI contract expires on Wednesday and the more actively traded September future was at USD 99.74 a barrel, up 32 cents.

Oil prices have been whipsawed between concerns about supply as Western sanctions on Russian crude and fuel supplies over the Ukraine conflict have disrupted trade flows to refiners and end-users and rising worries that central bank efforts to tame surging inflation may trigger a recession that would cut future fuel demand.

The underlying supply/demand imbalance is as tight as ever,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA, in a note. “Oil prices may have peaked, but they certainly don’t look like they’re going materially lower from here unless we get a huge surprise from OPEC+.”

US President Joe Biden visited top oil exporter Saudi Arabia last week, hoping to strike a deal on an oil production boost to tame fuel prices.

However, officials from Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), did not give clear assurances an output increase was secured.

Warren Patterson, head of Commodities Strategy at ING, said in a note that the market has had time to digest President Biden’s visit with a conclusion that it is unlikely that OPEC and its allies including Russia, known as OPEC+, will increase output more aggressively than planned in the short term.

Oil prices were backed by a softer US dollar on Tuesday, which stood around a one-week low level, making greenback-dominated oil slightly cheaper for buyers holding other currencies.

“A weaker USD provided support to the market, along with the broader commodities complex,” ING’s Patterson said.

The forecast of oil inventories in the US, the world’s biggest oil consumer, was that crude and distillate supplies may have risen last week while gasoline stockpiles likely fell, according to a preliminary Reuters poll.

(Reporting by Stephanie Kelly and Muyu Xu; Editing by Christian Schmollinger)

Gold trapped in tight range as central bank meetings loom

Gold trapped in tight range as central bank meetings loom

July 19 (Reuters) – Gold steadied on Tuesday, supported by a pullback in the US dollar, although prices were stuck in a tight range as investors refrained from making big bets ahead of key central bank meetings.

Spot gold held its ground at USD 1,708.35 per ounce, as of 0726 GMT. US gold futures eased 0.3% to USD 1,704.80.

The dollar was down 0.5% against its rivals, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

“Gold remains in a comatose state, unable to sustain gains above USD 1,720 and unable to rally even as the US dollar fell overnight,” OANDA senior analyst Jeffrey Halley said.

“That keeps the technical picture for gold very negative. It has an initial support at USD 1,700, but a sustained break and a couple of daily closes below USD 1,675 signal a much larger fall is in play.”

Offering some respite to gold, expectations for a 100-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve at its policy meeting next week stood at about 30%, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool after reaching as high as 80% last week.

Market participants are now anticipating a 75-basis-point hike by the Fed at its July 26-27 meeting. The European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan both are meeting on Thursday, with the ECB widely expected to deliver a 25-basis-point hike.

Although gold is seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates raise the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which yields no interest.

Meanwhile, SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.5% to 1,009.06 tonnes on Monday, its lowest since late-January.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.4% to USD 18.75 per ounce and platinum slipped 0.1% to USD 862, while palladium climbed 1.3% to USD 1,878.13.

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

Dollar pauses below two-decade peak as markets ponder Fed path

Dollar pauses below two-decade peak as markets ponder Fed path

TOKYO, July 19 (Reuters) – The US dollar hovered on Tuesday just above a one-week low reached overnight versus major peers as markets reduced the odds of a percentage-point Federal Reserve rate hike this month.

Bets for supersized easing ramped up last week after data showed US inflation, already at a four-decade high, continued to accelerate in June. But some Federal Reserve officials were quick to throw cold water on such talk, and figures from Friday showed a easing of consumer inflation expectations to the lowest in a year.

Traders in futures contracts tied to the Fed’s short-term federal funds policy rate, who had been leaning toward a full-percentage-point rise in interest rates, shifted their bets firmly in favor of a 0.75-percentage-point increase at the upcoming meeting, with the odds last seen at about 81%.

The dollar index – which gauges the greenback against six counterparts – was flat at 107.47. That was off Monday’s low of 106.88 but also well back from the high of 109.29 last week, a level not seen since September 2002.

The euro, which is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, slipped 0.08% to USD 1.01355, but that came after putting on around 0.6% overnight for a second day of strong gains.

The common currency slid as low as USD 0.9952 on Thursday for the first time since December 2002, pressured by uncertainty about a potential energy supply crunch in the euro zone.

Traders are biting their nails ahead of Thursday, when gas is supposed to resume flowing through the Nord Stream pipe from Russia to Germany after a shutdown for scheduled maintenance.

Russia’s Gazprom declared force majeure on gas supplies to Europe to at least one major customer, in a letter dated July 14 and seen by Reuters on Monday.

Despite the uncertainty, the European Central Bank is poised to raise interest rates on Thursday for the first time in more than a decade. It has telegraphed a 25 basis-point move, but heated inflation has some traders punting for a half-point hike.

“The balance of risks is tilted to a weaker EUR (whereas) the path of least resistance for the USD is to continue trending higher because of the poor global growth outlook,” Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Carol Kong wrote in a client note, referring to the dollar’s role as a safe haven.

Elsewhere, the yen hovered near a 24-year low ahead of a Bank of Japan policy decision on Thursday, with the central bank committing repeatedly in recent days to continued ultra-easy settings.

The dollar was little changed at 138.135 yen, not too far from Thursday’s peak at 139.38, a level not seen since September 1998.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar slipped 0.06% to USD 0.6809, after climbing to a one-week high at USD 0.6853 on Monday, from as low as USD 0.66825 on Thursday, the weakest in more than two years.

Sterling eased 0.13% to USD 1.1935, pulling away from Monday’s one-week high of USD 1.2032. It slumped to USD 1.1761 on Thursday for the first time since March 2020 as Britain faces an acrimonious and divisive contest to replace ousted prime minister Boris Johnson.

(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

 

Gold subdued as firmer US dollar, yields dent appeal

Gold subdued as firmer US dollar, yields dent appeal

July 19 (Reuters) – Gold edged lower on Tuesday as an uptick in the US dollar and bond yields weighed on bullion’s appeal, with investors awaiting more cues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike path.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold was down 0.2% to USD 1,706.25 per ounce by 0103 GMT. US gold futures fell 0.3% to USD 1,705.30.

* The dollar was up 0.1% against its rivals, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

* US Treasury yields rose as upbeat economic data released last week and a quiet period from the Federal Reserve set the stage for risk taking.

* Expectations for a 100-basis-point rate hike by the Fed at its policy meeting next week stood at about 31%, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool after reaching as high as 80% last week.

* On Friday, Fed officials signalled they would likely stick with a 75-basis-point interest rate increase at their upcoming policy meeting, though a recent high inflation reading could still warrant larger increases than anticipated later in the year.

* Although gold is seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates and bond yields raise the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which yields no interest.

* Data showed US home builder sentiment plummeted in July to its lowest level since the early months of the coronavirus pandemic, as high inflation and the steepest borrowing costs in more than a decade brought customer traffic to a near standstill.

* SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.5% to 1,009.06 tonnes on Monday from 1,014.28 tonnes on Friday.

* Spot silver eased 0.1% to USD 18.66 per ounce, platinum slipped 0.2% to USD 860.88, and palladium climbed 0.6% to USD 1,865.83.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0600 UK Claimant Count Unem Chng June

0600 UK ILO Unemployment Rate May

0900 EU HICP Final MM, YY June

1230 US Housing Starts Number June

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

RPT-COLUMN-Oil positions steady after heavy hedge fund selling ends: Kemp

RPT-COLUMN-Oil positions steady after heavy hedge fund selling ends: Kemp

Repeats item published on Monday without changes to text.

By John Kemp

LONDON, July 18 (Reuters) – Investors purchased small volumes of petroleum last week, after exceptionally heavy sales the week before, squaring up short positions after an unusually sudden and steep pull back in prices on recession fears.

Hedge funds and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 8 million barrels in the six most important petroleum futures and options contracts in the week to July 12 (https://tmsnrt.rs/3IMzULY).

That came after cumulative sales of 201 million barrels over the previous four weeks, culminating in sales of 110 million in the week to July 5, according to ICE Futures Europe and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

The most recent week saw a reduction in both bullish long positions (-19 million barrels) and bearish short ones (-27 million) as portfolio managers reduced risk exposure after exceptional volatility.

The disproportionately large reduction in short positions implies some profit-taking after prices dropped almost $25 per barrel over the previous four weeks in response to heightened fears about a recession dampening oil demand.

Inflation is running far above target across North America and Western Europe, making it likely the major central banks will continue tightening monetary policy into the early stages of a cyclical downturn, hitting oil demand.

The most recent week saw purchases of NYMEX and ICE WTI (+15 million) but sales of Brent (-3 million) and European gas oil (-5 million) and only minor changes in U.S. gasoline (+1 million) and diesel (+0.2 million).

The combined position in middle distillates (diesel and gas oil) has fallen in each of the last four weeks by a total of 21 million barrels, or 38%, since June 14.

Distillates are the most cyclically sensitive part of the oil market, and positions, prices and crack spreads have all fallen sharply as traders anticipate a significant slowdown in the business cycle or even a recession.

Related columns:

– Oil dumped by hedge funds on heightened recession risk (Reuters, July 11) nL1N2YS0QL

– Global diesel demand starts to slacken as economy falters (Reuters, July 8) nL1N2YP158

– Oil bulls retreat as economic outlook darkens (Reuters, July 4) nL1N2YL0LN

– Funds sell oil at fastest rate for 15 weeks as economic outlook worsens (Reuters, June 27) nL1N2YE0OZ

John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own

(Editing by Bernadette Baum)

((john.kemp@thomsonreuters.com))

Oil prices fall, taking a breather from massive surge

Oil prices fall, taking a breather from massive surge

July 19 (Reuters) – Oil prices fell on Tuesday, taking a breather after surging more than USD 5 a barrel in the previous session as a plunging dollar supported buying interest and on expectations the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike may be less than thought.

Brent crude futures for September settlement fell 69 cents to USD 105.58 a barrel by 0036 GMT. The contract rose 5.1% on Monday, the biggest percentage gain since April 12.

WTI crude futures for August delivery fell 65 cents to USD 101.95 a barrel. The contract climbed 5.1% on Monday and the largest percentage gain since May 11.

The August WTI contract expires on Wednesday and the more actively traded September future was at USD 98.79 a barrel, down 63 cents.

Both benchmarks recorded weekly declines of more than 5% last week.

Oil prices have been whipsawed between concerns about supply as Western sanctions on Russian crude and fuel supplies have disrupted trade flows to refiners and end-users and rising worries that central bank efforts to tame surging inflation may trigger a recession that would cut future fuel demand.

Two US Federal Reserve officials indicated last week that the central bank would likely only raise interest rates by 75 basis points at its July 26-27 meeting.

A lower hike may mean less of a economic crunch that would reduce fuel demand.

(Reporting by Stephanie Kelly; Editing by Christian Schmollinger)

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