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Archives: Business World Article

Philippine stocks slide for seventh straight day

Philippine stocks slide for seventh straight day

Philippine stocks slid for a seventh straight session on Tuesday as selling persisted due to worries over corruption issues and the peso’s weakness against the dollar.

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) sank by 0.73% or 44.14 points to close at 5,953.46, while the broader all shares index dropped 0.42% or 15.55 points to 3,620.79.

This was a fresh near six-month low for the PSEi as this was its worst close since it finished at 5,822.85 on April 7. The bellwether last posted losses for seven consecutive days in mid-December last year in the lead-up to a US Federal Reserve policy meeting where it was expected to adopt a hawkish tone due to concerns over growth prospects in the world’s largest economy.

“The Philippine market remains in the red after seven consecutive trading days. Selling pressure across the board persists as investors remain cautious about the overall state of the market,” Regina Capital Development Corp. Head of Sales Luis A. Limlingan said in a Viber message.

Net foreign selling surged to PHP 2.01 billion on Tuesday from PHP 405.93 million on Monday

“The local market extended its decline to a seventh straight day as dismay over the Philippines’ corruption issues continued to weigh on sentiment,” Philstocks Financial, Inc. Senior Research Analyst Japhet Louis O. Tantiangco said in a Viber message.

The peso’s continued decline against the dollar also continued to affect market sentiment, both analysts said. The local unit sank to a fresh two-month low of PHP 58.196 per dollar on Tuesday, down by 5.10 centavos from the prior day.

“Finally, the lack of a positive catalyst added to the market’s decline,” Mr. Tantiangco added.

The majority of sectoral indices ended in the red on Tuesday. Property declined by 2.02% or 47.15 points to 2,278.19; services retreated by 1.12% or 24.51 points to 2,152.39; holding firms went down by 1.03% or 50.93 points to 4,880.73; and industrials sank by 0.42% or 37.42 points to 8,777.65.

Meanwhile, mining and oil climbed by 1.45% or 183.84 points to 12,837.50, and financials went up by 0.31% or 6.37 points to 2,053.54.

“Bank of the Philippine Islands was the day’s top index gainer, climbing 3.6% to PHP 115. ACEN Corp. was the main index laggard, falling 3.69% to PHP 2.35,” Mr. Tantiangco said.

Value turnover increased to P9.09 billion on Tuesday with 1.57 billion shares traded from Monday’s PHP 4.72 billion with 1.37 billion shares changing hands.

Decliners overwhelmed advancers, 129 to 79, while 45 names closed unchanged.

Caution prevailed in world markets on Tuesday, with the dollar and equities slipping and gold hitting another record high amid fears a US government shutdown could delay key jobs data, Reuters reported. US Vice-President JD Vance said the government appeared “headed to a shutdown” after little progress in budget talks between President Donald Trump and Democratic opponents. — A.G.C. Magno with Reuters

DA eyes extending rice import ban

DA eyes extending rice import ban

The Department of Agriculture (DA) is considering extending the ban on rice imports until the end of the year, as farmgate prices of palay or unmilled rice continue to fall.

“I met with the President last week and we decided to extend the import ban by a minimum of 30 days,” Agriculture Secretary Francisco P. Tiu Laurel, Jr. told reporters in mixed English and Filipino at the House of Representatives on Monday.

“It is possible that it will be extended until the end of the year depending on the situation. The problem is that palay prices have dropped,” he added.   

President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. had earlier ordered a 60-day suspension of rice imports starting Sept. 1 to protect Filipino farmers during harvest season and to stabilize rice prices. The suspension was originally supposed to end on Nov. 2 and applies only to regular milled and well-milled rice.

Last Friday, Presidential Communications Office Undersecretary Clarissa A. Castro said the President ordered the extension of the import ban but did not give details.

Under Republic Act No. 12078, the President is allowed to suspend or prohibit the importation of rice during a specific period, when there are excess of local or imported supply resulting in a drop in local prices.

“I also talked to our rice millers and traders last week. They are actually requesting the import ban be extended until the end of this year,” Mr. Tiu Laurel said.

Mr. Tiu Laurel said there is “a big possibility” that tariffs on imported rice would be hiked before the import ban ends.

“We are running the numbers now from 20%, 25%, or 35%, and hopefully, we can make a decision before the closure of the (import) ban,” he added.

Tariffs on foreign rice are currently at 15% until 2028.

Mr. Tiu Laurel said the import ban extension was aimed at propping up farmgate prices of unmilled rice, which had dropped to P8 to P10 per kilo in some areas. “This is a loss to farmers,” he added.

The farmgate price for palay fell by 27.8% to PHP 17.11 per kilo in August, from the PHP 23.71 per kilo last year, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority showed.

Emergency procurement

The Agriculture chief also said that the President will also issue an executive order for emergency government procurement of palay.

“The DA also asked, and it is already approved in principle, for the President to issue an order for the emergency procurement of palay and the emergency procurement for additional lease and rent of warehouses,” he added.

Mr. Tiu Laurel said that this would allow the agency to procure more palay stocks from Filipino farmers in “depressed price areas.”

He added that the National Food Authority will purchase palay from farmers at a minimum of PHP 17 per kilo under the emergency plan.

“Hopefully, that will help. We are acting fast and we are deploying additional people so that if we get additional warehouses, they will be available for us to buy and help our farmers,” he said.

The Philippines is the biggest importer of rice in the world, according to the US Department of Agriculture. It is projected to import about 4.9 million metric tons this year.

Federation of Free Farmers National Manager Raul Q. Montemayor said that extension of the rice import ban to protect farmers would not have any effect on inflation, as local harvest is expected to offset any slowdown in rice shipments.

“Rice prices and inflation should not go up since whatever imported stocks are in the market now were bought at cheap prices before the ban, and local stocks are coming from fresh harvest that were bought at low prices,” Mr. Montemayor said in a Viber message.

He added that rice traders will continue to purchase palay from farmers at low prices “for fear that cheap imports will flood the market again when the ban is lifted.”

“We believe that the ban should be complemented by a reversion of the import tariff to 35% which will provide the leeway for local traders to buy at higher prices from farmers,” he said.

On the other hand, Roehlano M. Briones, a senior research fellow at the Philippine Institute for Development Studies, said that an extended rice import freeze would only raise retail prices.

“An extended ban will work if the intended effect is supporting palay prices. However, it will also prop up retail prices, forfeiting gains from lower retail prices for poor consumers,” he said in a Viber message.

Former Agriculture Undersecretary Fermin D. Adriano said in a Viber message that the extension will further irk rice exporters from Vietnam, the country largest rice trading partner.

The Philippines is Vietnam’s top rice export market, shipping about 2.47 million metric tons in the first nine months of 2025, according to the Bureau of Plant Industry as of Sept. 11. — Adrian H. Halili, Reporter

Foreign debt service bill falls to USD 6.72 billion

Foreign debt service bill falls to USD 6.72 billion

The Philippines’ external debt service burden dropped to USD 6.72 billion in the first half of the year as less foreign loans were due for repayment, preliminary data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed.

Debt service on external borrowings went down by 6.2% to USD 6.72 billion as of June from USD 7.164 billion in the same period in 2024.

Broken down, principal payments declined by 13.1% year on year to USD 2.77 billion in the January-to-June period from USD 3.189 billion.

Meanwhile, interest payments dipped by 0.7% in the first six months to USD 3.949 billion as of end-June from USD 3.976 billion last year.

“The decline in the Philippines’ external debt service burden in the first half mainly reflects lower principal repayments as fewer foreign obligations matured, alongside liability management efforts and a borrowing mix favoring domestic sources,” Union Bank of the Philippines Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion said in a Viber message.

Mr. Asuncion also noted the decline in debt servicing shows the country’s foreign debts are manageable, giving the government more fiscal space and easing the strain on its dollar reserves.

Meanwhile, Michael L. Ricafort, chief economist at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., said external debt servicing declined as foreign loans account for a smaller share in the National Government’s total borrowing mix.

“This could be attributed to the lower share of foreign borrowings in the total National Government borrowing mix in recent years to better manage (foreign exchange) risks entailed in foreign borrowings,” he said in a Viber message.

The debt service burden represents principal and interest payments after rescheduling, according to the BSP.

This includes principal and interest payments on fixed medium- and long-term credits, including International Monetary Fund credits, loans covered by the Paris Club and commercial bank rescheduling, and New Money Facilities. It also covers interest payments on fixed and revolving short-term liabilities of banks and nonbanks.

However, the debt service data exclude prepayments on future years’ maturities of foreign loans and principal payments on fixed and revolving short-term liabilities of banks and nonbanks.

In the first half, the debt service burden as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) fell to 2.8% from 3.2% in the comparable year-ago period.

Meanwhile, the country’s outstanding external debt reached USD 148.873 billion as of June, a 14.4% jump from USD 130.182 a year ago.

Of the total, USD 94.801 billion is public sector debt, while USD 54.072 billion is private sector debt.

This brought the external debt as a percentage of GDP to 31.2% in the first six months from 28.9% in the same period last year.

Mr. Asuncion said the government may see a slight uptick in its foreign debt service bill in the coming months as more foreign obligations will be due for repayment.

“For the second half, we expect a modest pickup as more amortizations fall due, but the debt service ratio should stay within a comfortable range given ample reserves and a still-favorable global rate environment,” he said.

The BSP’s external debt data cover borrowings of Philippine residents from nonresident creditors, regardless of sector, maturity, creditor type, debt instruments or currency denomination.

The central bank gathers data on external debt through reports submitted by borrowers, banks, and major foreign creditors. — Katherine K. Chan

 

Philippines declines a spot in economic freedom index

Philippines declines a spot in economic freedom index

The Philippines slipped one spot in a global index on economic freedom, despite improvements in some areas, according to the Canada-based think tank Fraser Institute.

The country ranked 62nd out of 165 economies in conservative think tank’s Economic Freedom of the World report, which uses 2023 data. In the previous year’s index, the Philippines ranked 61st place.

This was the Philippines’ lowest placement in the index in two years, or since it ranked 68th in 2021.

Philippines Slips in Economic Freedom Ranking

Despite the lower ranking, the country’s score inched up to 7.05 out of 10 in 2023 from 7.01 in 2022.

Among Asia-Pacific jurisdictions, the Philippines lagged behind Hong Kong (8.55), Singapore (8.50), New Zealand (8.33), Australia (8.03), Taiwan (8.03), Japan (7.83), Malaysia (7.56), South Korea (7.53), Thailand (7.10), and Brunei Darussalam (7.09).

However, the Philippines was ahead of Indonesia (6.96), Mongolia (6.83), Cambodia (6.79), Vietnam (6.21), China (6.13), Papua New Guinea (6.09), Fiji (6.08), Timor-Leste (5.97), Laos (5.65), and Myanmar (4.46).

The index measures the degree to which citizens are allowed to make their own economic choices through five areas: size of government, legal system and property rights, sound money, freedom to trade internationally, and regulation.

The Philippines had its highest score in the sound money category with 9.01, ranking 34th out of the 165 countries, slightly lower than its previous score of 9.04.

The country’s score in size of government went up to 7.88 from 7.77 previously. Its current ranking was at 21st place from 26th previously.

Manila’s score in regulation also went up to 6.65 (64th) from 6.55 (67th) previously.

However, the country yet again performed worst in the legal system and property rights area with a score of 4.57, ranking 109th. Its score slightly improved from 4.55 previously.

Meanwhile, its score in freedom to trade internationally stood at 7.15, ranking 86th from 87th previously.

Foundation for Economic Freedom President Calixto V. Chikiamco said that the Philippines continues to underperform in the areas of legal system and property rights and trade freedom.

“Particularly in agricultural trade. We are still protecting our agricultural sector with quotas, high tariffs, and other forms of restrictions,” he said in a Viber message.

Meanwhile, Mr. Chikiamco said that the previous administration’s unilateral cancellation of the contracts with the private water concessionaires and refusal to abide by the decision of arbitration proceedings have impacted the country’s overall ranking.

“That and other instances where contracts aren’t honored cause low ratings of the country [in legal system and property rights],” he added.

However, Mr. Chikiamco said that the slight dip in the country’s ranking may also be attributed to improvements in other countries.

“The Philippines can fare better by dismantling agricultural protectionism, reforming an inefficient and corrupt judicial system, removing the Filipino First and Filipino Only provisions in the Constitution, and forging more free trade agreements with more economies,” he added.

Philippine Institute for Development Studies Senior Research Fellow John Paolo R. Rivera said that the results of the index suggest that the Philippines is making progress, but “other economies are reforming faster and more comprehensively.”

“We continue to lag in critical areas like rule of law, regulatory quality, judicial independence, and most especially corruption control, which weigh down its overall ranking,” he said in a Viber message.

To improve, he said that there is a need for the Philippines to strengthen its institutional frameworks.

“It must also enforce property rights, simplify regulations, and promote a more transparent and predictable policy environment to boost investor confidence and economic dynamism,” Mr. Rivera said.

According to the Fraser Institute, economic freedom has been declining since the pandemic.

“Global economic freedom peaked in 2019 but has declined in each of the four years since then, which hasn’t happened since we began measuring economic freedom more than 25 years ago,” Matthew Mitchell, a senior fellow at the Fraser Institute, said in the report.

Hong Kong topped the latest index, followed by Singapore, New Zealand, Switzerland, the United States, Ireland, Australia and Taiwan (tied for 7th), Denmark, and the Netherlands.

However, the Fraser Institute expects US President Donald J. Trump’s tariffs to further depress US economic freedom.

“When countries move to restrict trade freedom, other areas of economic freedom, such as size of government, sound money, and regulatory freedom, often soon follow,” it added.

Meanwhile, the lowest scoring economies on the index were Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Sudan, Algeria, Iran, Myanmar, Argentina, Syria, Libya, and Chad. — Justine Irish D. Tabile, Reporter

Philippines needs to boost liquidity to join JPMorgan bond index

Philippines needs to boost liquidity to join JPMorgan bond index

The Philippines should focus on boosting the liquidity and increasing the size of benchmark bonds to ensure the inclusion in JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM) by 2026, analysts said.

At the same time, National Treasurer Sharon P. Almanza said she is hopeful that the Philippines will be officially included in the bond index after the six- to nine-month assessment period.

“We will continue to deepen the secondary market liquidity through consolidation of our issuances and continue building benchmarks. We’ve also introduced the Primary Dealer System and this will help both our primary auction and the secondary market,” she said in a Viber message.

She said the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) will continue to issue benchmark tenors that will be formulated “based on our debt management strategy while taking into account and assessing the demand of our investors.”

Earlier this month, JPMorgan tagged Philippine peso-denominated government bonds as “Index Watch Positive,” which is the final review phase for inclusion in its GBI-EM series.

JPMorgan said it will conduct its Index Watch assessment and provide updates by the first quarter of 2026.

Reyes Tacandong & Co. Senior Adviser Jonathan L. Ravelas said inclusion in JPMorgan’s watchlist means “big investors” are keeping a close eye on the Philippines.

“To get in, the government needs to make our bonds easier to buy and sell, especially for foreigners. If we succeed, more money could flow into the country, helping lower interest rates and fund public projects more cheaply,” he said in a Viber message.

Mr. Ravelas said the Treasury should focus on offering three-year, five-year and 10-year bonds next year since these are “the most attractive to global investors.”

“BTr should focus on increasing the liquidity and size of benchmark bonds (especially five-, seven-, and 10-year tenors), adopt global settlement systems, and sustain macroeconomic stability,” Philippine Institute for Development Studies Senior Research Fellow John Paolo R. Rivera said in a Viber message.

Mr. Rivera said these efforts will attract more foreign investments as well as boost demand and lower yields.

“Next year’s issuances should prioritize long-dated, high-volume benchmark bonds and possibly include ESG (environmental, social and governance)-linked securities to diversify the investor base and meet index inclusion criteria,” he said.

Meanwhile, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. said the Philippines’ inclusion in the index will help the government borrow abroad more easily.

“In general, it means the cost of borrowing for our investments will be lower. That should be good for growth. And we’re hoping the growth will spread to the lowest level,” he said in an interview on Thought Leaders with Cathy Yang on One News. — Aaron Michael C. Sy, Reporter

Peso slides to fresh two-month low on Fed easing bets

Peso slides to fresh two-month low on Fed easing bets

The peso sank to a fresh two-month low against the dollar on Monday as markets continued to reprice their bets on the US Federal Reserve’s policy path following the fresh batch of economic data released last week.

The local unit closed at PHP 58.145 versus the greenback, dropping by 4.5 centavos from its PHP 58.10 finish on Friday, Bankers Association of the Philippines data showed.

This was the peso’s weakest close in two months or since its PHP 58.32-a-dollar finish on July 31.

The peso opened Monday’s session stronger at PHP 58 versus the dollar. Its intraday high was at PHP 57.945, while its worst showing was at PHP 58.165 against the greenback.

Dollars exchanged rose to USD 1.47 billion on Monday from $1.38 billion on Friday.

The peso opened stronger against the dollar “because of the fewer dovish Fed expectations after US PCE (personal consumption expenditures) data came in as expected,” a trader said by phone.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said in a Viber message that the PCE data and other reports released last week, as well as comments from Fed officials, have led markets to rethink their rate-cut expectations.

Market sentiment continued to be affected by the ongoing probe into alleged corruption in state flood-control and infrastructure projects at home involving several lawmakers and government officials, he added.

For Tuesday, the trader expects the peso to move between PHP 57.90 and PHP 58.40 per dollar, while Mr. Ricafort said it could range from PHP 58 to PHP 58.25.

US consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of economic activity, rose 0.6% in August, slightly higher than the 0.5% estimated by economists polled by Reuters.

The PCE price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, rose 0.3% last month, in line with expectations, US Commerce department data showed.

The dollar dropped on Monday amid concerns over a potential government shutdown, with the yen outperforming the euro ahead of a batch of US economic releases that could offer further clues on the Federal Reserve’s policy path.

The greenback rose last week following economic data that prompted a pullback in expectations for Fed interest rate cuts.

Traders are currently pricing in 40 basis points (bps) of Fed easing by December and a total of 110 bps by the end of 2026, about 25 bps less than levels seen in mid-September.

The dollar index — a measure of its value relative to a basket of foreign currencies — was down 0.22% on Monday to 97.90, having risen 0.5% last week. — A.M.C. Sy with Reuters

PSEi falls below 6,000 on strong selling pressure

PSEi falls below 6,000 on strong selling pressure

The main index on Monday fell below the 6,000 mark for the first time in nearly six months, succumbing to selling pressure amid a lack of positive trading drivers.

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) sank by 0.49% or 29.52 points to close at 5,997.60, while the broader all shares index dropped 0.23% or 8.46 points to 3,636.34.

This was the stock benchmark’s worst finish in almost six months or since it ended at 5,822.85 on April 7, which was also the last time the PSEi closed below the 6,000 line.

“The PSEi fell below the 6,000 mark as prices continued to decline despite last week’s all-red performance. Selling pressure remains strong, with the market still lacking any positive catalyst,” Regina Capital Development Corp. Head of Sales Luis A. Limlingan said in a Viber message.

“Adding to the bearish sentiment are the ongoing uncertainties in the country and the continued depreciation of the peso against the US dollar, which is dampening confidence among both local and foreign investors,” he said.

Net foreign selling went down to PHP 405.93 million on Monday from PHP 551.36 million on Friday.

Meanwhile, the peso dropped by 4.5 centavos to close at PHP 58.145 against the dollar on Monday from its PHP 58.10 finish on Friday.

This was the local unit’s weakest finish in two months or since it ended at PHP 58.32 on July 31.

“The PSE index closed slightly below the key support at 6,000 on anemic volume as investors remain on the sidelines,” AP Securities, Inc., said in a market note.

Value turnover dropped to PHP 4.72 billion with 1.37 billion shares traded from Friday’s PHP 5.46 billion with 1.66 billion shares changing hands.

The majority of sectoral indices closed higher on Monday. Mining and oil increased by 5.32% or 639.31 points to 12,653.66; industrials rose by 0.9% or 79.03 points to 8,815.07; holding firms went up by 0.31% or 15.28 points to 4,931.66; and property climbed by 0.01% or 0.30 point to 2,325.34.

Meanwhile, services slumped by 1.58% or 35.04 points to 2,176.90, and financials dropped by 1.22% or 25.47 points to 2,047.17.

Decliners outnumbered advancers, 106 to 100, while 58 names were unchanged.

Mr. Limlingan said the market will likely wait for fresh labor market data from the United States for leads.

Meanwhile, most share markets rose in Asia on Monday while the dollar eased as investors braced for a possible shutdown of the US government, which would in turn delay publication of the September payrolls report and a raft of other key data, Reuters reported.

President Donald J. Trump was set to meet with the top Democratic and Republican leaders in Congress later on Monday to discuss extending government funding. Without a deal a shutdown would begin from Wednesday, which is also when new US tariffs on heavy trucks, patented drugs and other items go into effect. — A.G.C. Magno with Reuters

Gov’t gross borrowings hit PHP 508.5B in Aug.

Gov’t gross borrowings hit PHP 508.5B in Aug.

The national government’s (NG) gross borrowings nearly tripled in August amid sharp rise in domestic and foreign borrowings, the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) said.

The latest data from the Treasury showed that total gross borrowings jumped by 192% to PHP 508.53 billion in August from PHP 174.03 billion in the same month a year ago.

Month on month, gross borrowings surged by 206% from PHP 166.11 billion in July.

Domestic borrowings, which made up 97.97% of the total, rose by 198% to PHP 498.21 billion in August from PHP 167.05 billion in the same month last year.

This was composed of PHP 425.61 billion in retail Treasury bonds (RTB), PHP 60 billion in fixed-rate Treasury bonds (T-bonds), and PHP 12.6 billion in Treasury bills (T-bills).

External borrowings, which mainly consisted of project loans, climbed by 47.57% to PHP 10.31 billion in August from PHP 6.99 billion in the previous year.

Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort said elevated gross borrowings in August were likely driven by the latest RTB issuance as the government needed additional funds to plug the budget deficit.

The government raised PHP 507.16 billion from the issuance of RTBs in August, exceeding the PHP 30-billion target.

“The large increase in borrowings can be attributed to the large issuance of domestic debt securities by the government which successfully met the demand for these securities amid investors seeking safe returns,” Reinielle Matt M. Erece, an economist at Oikonomia Advisory and Research, Inc., said in a Viber message. 

End-August borrowing

Meanwhile, NG’s gross borrowings stood at PHP 2.27 trillion in the January-to-August period, up 17.22% from PHP 1.93 trillion a year ago.

The total borrowings accounted for 87.16% of the revised PHP 2.6-trillion financing program for 2025.

Domestic debt accounted for the bulk or 81.19% of total gross borrowings in the first eight months.

Gross domestic debt increased by 11.46% to PHP 1.84 trillion as of end-August from PHP 1.65 trillion in the same period last year. This made up 87.12% of the PHP 2.11-trillion program this year.

Broken down, domestic debt was composed of PHP 941.84 billion in fixed-rate Treasury bonds, PHP 425.61 billion in RTBs, PHP 300 fixed-rate Treasury notes, and PHP 172.45 in T-bills.

As of end-August, gross external debt rose by 50.89% to PHP 426.23 billion from PHP 282.46 billion a year ago. The total foreign borrowings in the January-to-August period accounted for 87.31% of the PHP 488.17-billion program this year.

Broken down, foreign debt was made up of PHP 191.97 billion in global bonds, PHP 171.31 billion in program loans and PHP 62.96 billion in project loans.

External borrowings in the end-August period were also padded by the global bond issuance that raised USD 3.3 billion or PHP 192 billion in late January but settled in February.

Mr. Ricafort said the government would likely exceed its borrowing program with the ballooning budget deficit.

“There is a chance if the budget deficit widened for the rest of 2025 and needed to be funded by additional NG borrowings,” he said.

Separate data from the BTr showed that the fiscal gap swelled by 56.38% to PHP 84.8 billion in August, which brought the eight-month deficit to PHP 869.2 billion.

“The government’s recalibration of debt to increase the share of domestic debt over foreign debt sources is reflective in the composition of new borrowings this August. We may see the same trend in the coming months,” Mr. Erece said.

The government favors domestic sources of debt as it aims to reduce foreign currency risk.

The BTr earlier said it is looking to borrow PHP 437 billion from the domestic market in the fourth quarter, comprised of PHP 262 billion in T-bills and PHP 75 billion in T-bonds.

For 2026, the financing program is set at PHP 2.68 trillion, of which PHP 2.05 trillion will be from local lenders and PHP 627.1 billion from foreign sources.

Higher debt

Meanwhile, the share of Philippines government debt to gross domestic product (GDP) edged up to 57.8% in the second quarter of 2025 from 56.7% a year earlier, according to the Institute of International Finance quarterly debt monitor.

Household debt as a share of GDP slid to 11.3% in the second quarter this year from 12.1% in the same period a year ago.

The domestic financial sector’s debt-to-GDP ratio eased to 7.2% in the second quarter from 7.6% in the same quarter in 2024.

On the other hand, nonfinancial corporates’ debt-to-GDP ratio also eased to 25.7% in the second quarter this year from 26.8% a year ago. — A.R.A.Inosante

Gov’t eyes bidding for LRT-2, MRT-3 contracts in early 2026

Gov’t eyes bidding for LRT-2, MRT-3 contracts in early 2026

The Department of Transportation (DoTr) aims to start the bidding process for the operations and maintenance (O&M) of Light Rail Transit Line 2 (LRT-2) and Metro Rail Transit Line 3 (MRT-3) within the first half of 2026.

“The bidding of LRT-2 (O&M contract) will definitely be by the first half of next year. We will be submitting it to DEPDev (Department of Economy, Planning, and Development) simultaneously with the bidding of MRT-3,” Transportation Undersecretary for Railways Timothy John R. Batan told reporters on the sidelines of Arangkada Investments Forum 2025 last week.

The government is adopting a dual track for the privatization of the MRT-3, he said, noting the DoTr will not turn away any unsolicited proposals while it is soliciting bids.

The government is targeting to implement the solicited bidding process for the MRT-3 project by early next year, Mr. Batan said.   

“We are on dual track for MRT-3. We are pursuing a solicited together with the ADB (Asian Development Bank). But we are also open to unsolicited proposals,” he said.

The Transportation department has also hinted at receiving an unsolicited proposal for the operations and maintenance of MRT-3, though Mr. Batan declined to name the proponent, referring only to the group as one of the “usual suspects.”

“We actually think that a proposal, an unsolicited proposal will be submitted very soon. So, once that is submitted, we will definitely look at that seriously,” he said.

Mr. Batan said a proponent has expressed interest, but a formal proposal has yet to be submitted.

The Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Center has said that the Transportation department rejected Metro Pacific Investments Corp.’s (MPIC) unsolicited proposal for the MRT-3 project in December 2024.

BusinessWorld sought comment from MPIC on whether it would revive its submission for the MRT-3 project but had yet to receive a response by the deadline.

Earlier this year, MPIC Chairman Manuel V. Pangilinan said the company is unlikely to resubmit its unsolicited proposal for the MRT-3 project.

Rene S. Santiago, former president of the Transportation Science Society of the Philippines called the DoTr’s move as indecisive, adding that the government should not have rejected the MPIC-Sumitomo proposal.

“In the first place, they should not have rejected the MPIC-Sumitomo unsolicited proposal last December. By this time, a Swiss Challenge would have been received, compared and awarded,” Mr. Santiago said in a Viber message.

Aside from the group, San Miguel Corp.  has also previously submitted an unsolicited proposal for the MRT-3 project.

Mr. Batan likened the DoTr’s dual track for MRT-3 project to that of Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) rehabilitation and operations project where the government accepted unsolicited proposals before ultimately taking the solicited route.

“You have to remember when we did NAIA, we also had non-solicited and solicited. We do an evaluation. So, until we receive it (unsolicited proposal), we do not know what it looks like,” he said.

For Nigel Paul C. Villarete, senior adviser on PPP at the technical advisory group Libra Konsult, Inc., unsolicited proposals are usually only accommodated when agencies do not have a definite intention of proceeding with a solicited route. 

“Shifting from one mode to another is uneconomical and may result in confusion. It would be in the government’s best interest to finalize the mode of procurement first, and proceed from that,” Mr. Villarete said in a Viber message.

A solicited mode is likely more advantageous to the government as it explicitly specifies the terms and coverage of the concession agreement, Mr. Villarete said,

“Solicited bids will always be superior to unsolicited ones, in terms of covenants because the government prepared it in accordance with what it wants,” Mr. Villarete said.

“In other words, don’t do a dual track. If there’s  an unsolicited proposal, work on that. But if there is none, proceed with the solicited mode,” he said.

The DoTr had initially aimed to initiate the bidding process for the operations and maintenance of the MRT-3 before the expiration of its build-lease-transfer (BLT) agreement with the Sobrepeña-led Metro Rail Transit Corp. (MRTC) in July 2025.

Under the BLT concession, the DoTr holds the franchise and manages operations and fare collection, while MRTC builds and maintains the system in exchange for regular payments from the government. Following the contract’s expiration, the ownership and operations of MRT-3 have been transferred to the government. 

Further, Mr. Batan said the government is also planning to start the bidding process for the operations and maintenance of LRT-2 by the first half of 2026.

The DoTr is working with the International Finance Corp. for the planned privatization of LRT-2, which is currently operated and managed by Light Rail Transit Authority.

The plan to privatize LRT-2 via public-private partnership aims to increase its ridership and extend its rail line. — Ashley Erika O. Jose, Reporter

Artificial intelligence gives Philippine entrepreneurs a competitive edge

Artificial intelligence gives Philippine entrepreneurs a competitive edge

Amari Neil B. Dimafeliz,18, first turned to artificial intelligence (AI) in 2023 when his small 3D-printing business started growing faster than he could manage.

Running a youth-led enterprise with limited manpower, he struggled to find employees willing to work for someone still in college. “My age has been an obstacle to hiring people, so I turned to AI because it’s not selective in who it’s performing for,” he said by telephone.

Instead of hiring extra staff, Mr. Dimafeliz invested in a PHP 100,000 printer with AI features that automatically checks the quality of his customized products, which include keychains, figurines, thesis prototypes, coasters, ballpens and pencil cases.

“On the operational side, our printers use artificial intelligence for precautionary measures when there are failures in printing,” he said.

AI also helps market his products. He uses it to generate captions and images for his small business’ social media pages, a task that once ate up hours of his time. For a full-time mechanical engineering student at Mapua University, AI has become a crucial tool for balancing academics with entrepreneurship.

Stories like Mr. Dimafeliz’s illustrate how AI could reshape the way micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) operate.

MSMEs account for about 99% of all businesses in the Philippines, yet adoption of advanced digital tools remains low. As of 2021, only 14.9% of firms had integrated AI, according to the government think tank Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS).

AI has the potential to transform these businesses, said Ian Jester M. De Vera, head of the research division at the University of the Philippines Institute for Small-Scale Industries (UP ISSI). “Some of the tasks of MSMEs are just repetitive, so if they’re going to leverage AI, they will do away with these tasks,” he told BusinessWorld by telephone.

AI can also help smaller firms scale operations and compete with larger corporations, said John Paolo R. Rivera, a PIDS senior research fellow. “By using AI, MSMEs can better compete with larger firms and participate in digital trade,” he said in a Viber message.

Among its practical benefits: AI can forecast demand, analyze customer behavior, and reduce overstock or shortages. It can personalize marketing strategies and improve logistics efficiency.

Beyond operations, AI can handle invoicing, payroll and appointment scheduling, reducing costs and human error. Virtual assistants and chatbots can also take over routine customer service inquiries, saving time for owners and staff.

AI may even help protect businesses from rising cyberthreats. MSMEs are often prime targets for ransomware and phishing attacks, noted Bambi Escalante, country manager at Fortinet Philippines.

Steep challenges

“Most small and medium businesses don’t have dedicated IT security teams, making it difficult to keep up with evolving threats,” she told BusinessWorld in an e-mailed reply to questions. “This is where AI becomes a game-changer — it automates routine security tasks and helps businesses stay ahead of cyber risks without needing extensive resources.”

A joint study by Google and Access Partnership estimates that if widely adopted, AI-powered products and solutions could unlock as much as P2.8 trillion in economic benefits for Philippine businesses.

Despite its promise, AI adoption among MSMEs faces steep challenges.

For one, resources remain tight. “Let’s face it, MSMEs have limited resources, and some of them are even cash-strapped,” Mr. De Vera said. “If AI would just add to their costs, maybe they would think twice about adopting it.”

Generational gaps also play a role. Many first-generation business founders remain hesitant to use AI themselves. “When I talk about AI, of course they’re amazed, but they instead want their children to learn how to use it, because they don’t know how to use it,” said Reynaldo C. Lugtu, Jr., president and chief executive officer (CEO) at consulting firm Hungry Workhorse.

Digital infrastructure is another major hurdle. Reliable internet access is still uneven across the country. “The foremost barrier is infrastructure, because it’s still a problem, especially in a developing country like the Philippines, to have a reliable internet connection,” Mr. De Vera said.

The Philippines ranked 56th out of 77 countries in Huawei Technologies’ 2024 Global Digitalization Index, classifying it as a “starter” in digital transformation.

MSMEs also often lack the data needed to fuel AI systems. “AI requires large datasets to function effectively, but many MSMEs struggle with limited or unstructured data,” Mr. Rivera said. This data gap also affects their access to credit, marketing insights and long-term planning.

To address these challenges, organizations are working to strengthen MSMEs’ digital skills. The UP ISSI offers training and mentorship programs, guiding entrepreneurs on responsible AI use, strategy development and data-driven decision making. It has also rolled out a business course covering AI systems, analysis tools and ethical frameworks.

Private firms are innovating as well. Peddlr, a smart point-of-sale (POS) app for small businesses, plans to integrate AI into its analytics and reporting features.

“It is on our product roadmap to incorporate this technology with our POS app, starting with the reports and analytics module,” Peddlr founder and CEO Nel Laygo said in an e-mailed reply to questions.

Mr. Laygo added that MSMEs should begin embedding AI proficiency into their workforce development. “They should start incorporating AI proficiency into internal training to upskill staff and include this as a requirement when hiring new talent, alongside proficiency in Microsoft Word, PowerPoint and Excel,” he said.

Experts say both the government and private sector need to step in by subsidizing AI tools, improving internet infrastructure, and promoting digital literacy. “Both sectors can also invest in digital literacy and training, so this will upskill MSME employees through courses and workshops that will improve their competence in using AI,” Mr. De Vera said.

While MSMEs worldwide are beginning to integrate AI into their operations, many owners remain cautious about overreliance.

Mr. Dimafeliz, whose 3D-printing business continues to grow alongside his studies, sees AI as a helpful partner but not a substitute for creativity.

“AI is not perfect,” he said. “We still have to apply our personal touch to ensure originality. We still need the intervention of human beings.” — Beatriz Marie D. Cruz, Reporter

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