Read this content. Log in or sign up.
If you are an investor with us, log in first to your Metrobank Wealth Manager account.
If you are not yet a client, we can help you by clicking the SIGN UP button.
Fundamental View
AS OF 30 Oct 2024UBS agreed to acquire Credit Suisse in March 2023 after the latter collapsed following a severe liquidity crisis.
CS was a large and complex organisation, so the integration, and the inevitable associated losses and costs, will dominate UBS’s strategic outlook and financial performance for several years.
However, UBS was able to negotiate substantial downside protection which should shield it from losses at CS.
Away from CS, UBS has reshaped its business model, with a greater emphasis on wealth management and less focus on investment banking, particularly fixed income.
Its earnings remain somewhat dependent on capital market conditions, but its capital, asset quality and profitability ratios have been among the best for European banks.
Business Description
AS OF 30 Oct 2024- Headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, UBS has private, corporate and institutional clients worldwide and retail clients in Switzerland. It is one of the world's largest wealth managers.
- It completed the acquisition of CS on 12 June 2023. It has merged CS’s domestic Swiss bank (Credit Suisse Schweiz AG) with its own domestic bank (UBS Switzerland AG) in 2024, keeping the CS brand “for the time being”.
- CS’s holding company (Credit Suisse Group AG) has been merged into UBS Group AG, so that the group has a single holding company, and the operating subsidiaries, including UBS AG and Credit Suisse AG, were merged on 31 May 2024.
- UBS operates through its Corporate Center and four business divisions: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, and the Investment Bank, plus a new Non-core and Legacy division following the acquisition of CS.
- The Investment Bank has been restructured in recent years to scale back fixed income trading and focus on equities trading and origination & advisory business.
Risk & Catalysts
AS OF 30 Oct 2024The acquisition of CS will be a long and complex process, and the necessary restructuring is likely to result in heavy losses and costs, although UBS has substantial protection, not least in the large negative goodwill.
Litigation costs have been a feature of UBS’s results in recent years, although it has agreed settlements in various cases recently.
A French court imposed fines and civil damages of €4.5 bn ($5.1 bn) in February 2019, which UBS appealed. The Court of Appeal retried the case de novo in March 2021 and reduced the fine to €3.75 mn plus civil damages of €800 mn and confiscation of €1 bn. UBS has appealed again and has set aside reserves of €1.1 bn ($1.2 bn) so far.
Key Metric
AS OF 30 Oct 2024$ mn | 3Q24 | Y23 | Y22 | Y21 | Y20 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return On Equity | 6.7% | 40.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
Total Revenues Margin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
Cost/Income | 83.4% | 95.0% | 72.1% | 73.6% | 73.0% |
CET1 Ratio (Transitional) | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
CET1 Ratio (Fully-Loaded) | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
Leverage Ratio (Fully-Loaded) | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
Liquidity Coverage Ratio | 199% | 216% | 164% | 155% | 152% |
Impaired Loans (Gross)/Total Loans | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
CreditSight View Comment
AS OF 08 Nov 2024We have Market perform recommendations on UBS AG (operating bank) and UBS Group (holding company) having revised the HoldCo recommendation from Underperform on 14 August 2024. Its rescue and takeover of Credit Suisse in March 2023 was a seminal event that has had major consequences for UBS’s strategy and financial performance, as well as carrying substantial execution risk. However, the integration is on track, and UBS’s performance has been steadily improving. Capital, asset quality and liquidity all look strong, although Swiss regulatory capital requirements will continue to increase in coming years.
Recommendation Reviewed: November 08, 2024
Recommendation Changed: August 14, 2024