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THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
948 x 535 px AdobeStock_433552847
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed cuts incoming   
June 30, 2025 DOWNLOAD
equities-3may23-2
Consensus Pricing
Consensus Pricing – June 2025
June 25, 2025 DOWNLOAD
Two people discussing a chart on a tablet
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Update: Dovish BSP Narrows IRD 
June 19, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
Bonds Market Movements Top Picks Issuer List

Market Movements

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As of July 3, 2025

What happened last week? (June 24 - 30)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (June 24 - 30)

Bonds rallied last week driven by lower benchmark yields amid dovish statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, easing fears of higher oil prices from the Israel-Iran conflict, and weaker economic data. Earlier in the week, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, a notable hawk, gave support for a rate cut as soon as July. Her comments echoed statements from a Fed official the prior week. Lower oil prices from de-escalating tensions between Israel and Iran further added to the bullish momentum. The rally extended by the close of the week with the final reading of 1Q US gross domestic product (GDP) and Personal Consumption revised lower while Real Personal Spending for the month of May declined by 0.3% month-on-month, signaling weaker consumer spending. Asia credit spreads lagged the rally in risk assets amid tight spread levels, ending the week broadly 2 basis points (bps) wider.
  • The May US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index Month-on-Month came in higher than expected at 0.2% versus 0.1% in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The May US Initial Jobless Claims came in lower than expected at 236,000 versus 243,200 in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The 1Q US GDP Annualized QoQ came in lower than expected at –0.5% vs –0.2% in a Bloomberg Survey
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (June 24 - 30)

Bonds rallied last week driven by lower benchmark yields amid dovish statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, easing fears of higher oil prices from the Israel-Iran conflict, and weaker economic data. Earlier in the week, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, a notable hawk, gave support for a rate cut as soon as July. Her comments echoed statements from a Fed official the prior week. Lower oil prices from de-escalating tensions between Israel and Iran further added to the bullish momentum. The rally extended by the close of the week with the final reading of 1Q US gross domestic product (GDP) and Personal Consumption revised lower while Real Personal Spending for the month of May declined by 0.3% month-on-month, signaling weaker consumer spending. Asia credit spreads lagged the rally in risk assets amid tight spread levels, ending the week broadly 2 basis points (bps) wider.
  • The May US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index Month-on-Month came in higher than expected at 0.2% versus 0.1% in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The May US Initial Jobless Claims came in lower than expected at 236,000 versus 243,200 in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The 1Q US GDP Annualized QoQ came in lower than expected at –0.5% vs –0.2% in a Bloomberg Survey
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, the market’s attention will be on ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and ISM Services PMI in the US for May, which are scheduled for July 1 and July 3, respectively. ISM Manufacturing PMI is forecasted to be 48.8 and ISM Service PMI is forecasted to be 50.5 in a Bloomberg survey.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

For the week ahead, market focus will be on jobs data as well as developments on US President Donald Trump’s tax bill in congress. The desk leans neutral for the week but remains biased to add 5Y duration if 5Y US Treasury yields retest 4%.
What to watch out for next?

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