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Fundamental View
AS OF 27 Mar 2025State Bank of India (SBI) is the largest state-owned bank in India and is in some respects the country’s flagship bank. Given the bank’s ~57% government ownership and systemic importance, government support for SBI is very strong.
The bank’s capital buffers are relatively low, but we take comfort in the strong government support.
Business Description
AS OF 27 Mar 2025- State Bank of India is the largest commercial bank in India. Its predecessor banks date back to the 19th century. In the early 20th century, they merged to form the Imperial Bank of India, which became the State Bank of India after India gained independence in 1947.
- The Government of India remains the largest shareholder with a 56.92% stake. Per the SBI Act, the government's shareholding cannot fall below 55%.
- SBI's merged with its 5 associate banks and Bharatiya Mahila Bank in 2018. The merger catapulted SBI into one of the world's 50 largest banks.
- The bank has 85% of its loans in the domestic market, and has steadily increased its international business too over the past few years with offices across all international business centres. The domestic book is split 42% retail, 34% corporates, ~14% SMEs and ~10% to the agri segment as of end-December 2024.
- It has diversified its operations with well regarded subsidiaries in the areas of fund management, credit cards, insurance, and capital markets.
Risk & Catalysts
AS OF 27 Mar 2025SBI does not have a strong buffer vs. the regulatory minimum of 8%, but its size, systemic importance and majority government shareholding confer particularly strong government support. But consequentially, any deterioration in the sovereign ratings will also affect the bank’s credit.
Increasing consolidation in the country’s financial space may narrow the gap between SBI’s market leading position vs its peers, particularly HDFC Bank.
Continued tight system liquidity has led to pressure on margins and loan growth of the Indian banks, but SBI’s less tight liquidity position than its private sector peers has allowed it to buck the industry trend and record relatively brisk loan growth that is ahead of deposit growth.
Asset quality is also trending well despite a stretched urban middle and lower-middle class consumer class, and slower than anticipated economic activity in India, as SBI’s personal unsecured loans book is ~95% to salaried employees of top tier corporates and the government.
Key Metric
AS OF 27 Mar 2025INR mn | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | 9M25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NIM | 3.04% | 3.12% | 3.37% | 3.28% | 3.12% |
ROAA | 0.48% | 0.67% | 0.96% | 1.04% | 1.09% |
ROAE | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
Equity to Assets | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
CET1 Ratio | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
Gross NPA Ratio | 4.98% | 3.97% | 2.78% | 2.24% | 2.07% |
Provisions/Loans | 1.77% | 0.91% | 0.54% | 0.14% | 0.30% |
PPP ROA | 1.65% | 1.58% | 1.59% | 1.60% | 1.65% |
CreditSight View Comment
AS OF 06 May 2025SBI is India’s largest bank and a well-run franchise. Government support underpins SBI’s relative positioning, while fundamentally, it has good operating metrics and business plans, a sufficient (though could be higher) CET1 ratio, and the best management among the public sector banks. SBI’s less tight LDR position than its private sector peers has allowed it to have continued higher loan growth than deposit growth in in F9M25. India’s macro backdrop remains relatively robust and SBI’s lower risk personal unsecured loans clientele is supporting asset quality well. Rate cuts will feed through to the NIM in FY26. Improved system liquidity however will provide some support for the NIM and loan growth. We like the name, but move it back to M/P as it now trades a few bp inside HDFCB.
Recommendation Reviewed: May 06, 2025
Recommendation Changed: April 25, 2025
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