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Fundamental View
AS OF 20 Aug 2025F1Q26 Non-Financial Services results reflected robust motorcycle sales and record segment profitability, offset by a sharp downturn in automobile earnings due to tariffs, one-time EV-related expenses, and regional sales declines in Asia and Japan. Management is pursuing active mitigation of tariff impacts through localization, production reallocation, and pricing, while maintaining strong cash generation and shareholder returns. Management lowered its projected FY26 tariff cost estimate by nearly one-third, improving its projected FY26 consolidated operating margin compression from 310 bp previously to 230 bp. While the projected FY26 consolidated operating margin of 3.3% remains low, improvement from its previous forecast and lower tariff impact could alleviate negative rating pressure.
Business Description
AS OF 20 Aug 2025- Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, motorcycles, and power products. It operates through the following segments: Automobile, Motorcycle, Financial Services, and Power Product and Other Businesses. The Automobile segment manufactures and sells automobiles and related accessories. The Motorcycle segment handles all-terrain vehicles, motorcycle business, and related parts. The Financial Services segment provides financial and insurance services.
- American Honda Finance Corporation (AHFC) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of American Honda Motor Co., Inc. (AHM or the Parent). Honda Canada Finance Inc. (HCFI) is a majority-owned subsidiary of AHFC. Non-controlling interest in HCFI is held by Honda Canada Inc. (HCI), an affiliate of AHFC. AHM is a wholly-owned subsidiary and HCI is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC). Honda Motor Co. (HMC) maintains Keep Well (support) agreements with its North American finance subsidiaries, AHFC and HCFI. Under the Keep Well agreements, HMC agrees to (1) maintain at least 80% ownership in AHFC and HCFI, (2) ensure AHFC and HCFI maintain a positive net worth, and (3) ensure both AHFC and HCFI have sufficient liquidity to meet their debt payment obligations.
Risk & Catalysts
AS OF 20 Aug 2025Management maintained its FY26 wholesale unit volume guidance that includes higher motorcycle wholesales and lower wholesales of Automobiles (-3%) and Power Products (-1%). The changes in Motorcycle segment (higher) and Automobile segment (lower) wholesales are expected to be primarily driven by Asia. Automobile wholesales in North America are projected to increase 2% YoY and account for 46% of the company’s global wholesales.
Management raised its FY26 consolidated operating profit forecast from ¥500 bn to ¥700 bn. The increase is equivalent to reduction in projected tariff impacts from to ¥650 bn to ¥450 bn. The revised forecast also includes higher currency tailwinds that are expected to be offset by unfavorable sales and price/cost impacts. While the revised forecast is a material improvement from last quarter’s forecast, it still represents a 42% decline from FY25 operating profit of ¥1.3 tn, mostly attributable to the company’s projected to ¥450 bn tariff cost. Finally, the updated forecast calls for Honda’s consolidated operating profit margin to decline by 230 bp from 5.6% in FY25 to 3.3%, an improvement from the 310 bp margin compression it previously expected.
Key Metric
AS OF 20 Aug 2025$ mn | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | F1Q26 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Company Earning Assets | 71,105 | 65,363 | 74,626 | 83,112 | 86,066 |
Cash and Investments | 2,607 | 1,544 | 1,670 | 4,052 | 2,728 |
Excess Liquidity | 9,607 | 8,544 | 8,670 | 11,052 | 9,728 |
Unsecured Debt | 38,026 | 33,410 | 41,566 | 48,363 | 50,725 |
Secured Debt | 8,888 | 6,927 | 9,351 | 12,384 | 12,700 |
Total Debt | 46,914 | 40,337 | 50,917 | 60,747 | 63,425 |
Allowance % Retail Rece. | 0.58% | 0.71% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.86% |
Allowance / Net Charge-offs | 3.75x | 2.41x | 1.72x | 1.48x | 1.45x |
Net Charge-offs % Avg. Receivable | 0.15% | 0.29% | 0.52% | 0.57% | 0.60% |
30+ Day Delinquency Rate | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
CreditSight View Comment
AS OF 15 Sep 2025We reiterate our Underperform recommendation on Honda Motor Co. and American Honda Finance Corporation notes based on relative value and its weak but improving consolidated operating profit outlook.
Recommendation Reviewed: September 15, 2025
Recommendation Changed: May 15, 2025
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