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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
Container ship carrying container boxes import export dock with quay crane. Business commercial trade global cargo freight shipping logistic and transportation worldwide oversea concept. Generative AI
Economic Updates
Philippines Trade Update: Wider deficit on strong imports
March 27, 2026 DOWNLOAD
Frick collection with palm trees 
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Updates: Policy rate updates to reassure 
March 26, 2026 DOWNLOAD
Man using his smartphone
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Fed to cut just once 
March 19, 2026 DOWNLOAD
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Market Movements

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As of March 27, 2026

What happened last week? (March 16–20)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (March 16–20)

The global credits space continued to see heaviness, as the US-Iran conflict dragged on. Except for a small reprieve last Wednesday, the past week generally saw market players reducing risk. The hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held policy rates did not help with investor sentiment.

Currently, market players are seeing a further widening of credit spreads, with the small number of bids being very defensive. Credit default spread levels are anywhere from 12 to 25 basis points (bps) wider week-on-week. Meanwhile, bond spreads are 15 to 30 bps wider in general.

The global credits trading desk still has not seen significant buying come in levels that are near the highest (in absolute yield terms) and widest (in spread terms) for the year so far. This implies that the market would rather wait for the uncertainty caused by the US-Iran conflict to subside before coming in.

  • The US Producer Price Index for the month of February was higher at 0.7%, seasonally adjusted, compared to 0.3% in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% as expected.
  • The US Unemployment Claims for the week ending March 14 was lower than expected at 205,000 versus 215,000 in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (March 16–20)

The global credits space continued to see heaviness, as the US-Iran conflict dragged on. Except for a small reprieve last Wednesday, the past week generally saw market players reducing risk. The hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held policy rates did not help with investor sentiment.

Currently, market players are seeing a further widening of credit spreads, with the small number of bids being very defensive. Credit default spread levels are anywhere from 12 to 25 basis points (bps) wider week-on-week. Meanwhile, bond spreads are 15 to 30 bps wider in general.

The global credits trading desk still has not seen significant buying come in levels that are near the highest (in absolute yield terms) and widest (in spread terms) for the year so far. This implies that the market would rather wait for the uncertainty caused by the US-Iran conflict to subside before coming in.

  • The US Producer Price Index for the month of February was higher at 0.7%, seasonally adjusted, compared to 0.3% in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% as expected.
  • The US Unemployment Claims for the week ending March 14 was lower than expected at 205,000 versus 215,000 in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, the market will turn its attention to the latest US unemployment claims on March 26 at 8:30 PM, Philippine Time, and the Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations on March 27 at 10:00 PM, Philippine Time.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

For the week ahead, the global credits trading desk expects Iran-related headlines to dictate market sentiment. The desk reiterates to continue being defensive and sticking with short-dated papers of good credits. For clients looking to lock in duration or the widest spread so far this year, the desk prefers familiar names such as Philippine credits.
What to watch out for next?

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