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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
gas-station-banner
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Nowhere but up 
March 5, 2026 DOWNLOAD
A container ship in a port
Economic Updates
Philippines Trade Update: Imports weaken on tepid demand
February 27, 2026 DOWNLOAD
Frick collection with palm trees 
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Updates: BSP outlook — cloudy with a chance of rate cut
February 19, 2026 DOWNLOAD
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Bonds Market Movements Top Picks Issuer List

Market Movements

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As of March 7, 2026

What happened last week? (February 23–27)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (February 23–27)

For global credits, last week began with a risk-off move, following renewed geopolitical tensions coming out of the Middle East. Investors started demanding higher yields on US Treasuries, which was exacerbated after the US Supreme Court rejected President Donald Trump’s tariff proposal. Following this, profit-taking began for global credits. Bonds across tenors sold off, while short-term papers continued to see some buying interest. Over the weekend, more headlines of a US and Israel attack against Iran and the latter’s subsequent retaliation resulted in a selloff of assets across the region. Asia sovereign spreads are now 5 to 9 basis points (bps) wider, while Asia corporate spreads are 5 to 10 bps wider. Middle East clearly underperformed by an extra 10 basis wider for riskier and longer-dated bonds. On the other hand, credit default swap spreads are around 3 bps tighter to 6 bps wider.
  • The US initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 21 came in higher than expected at 212,000 versus 217,000 in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Core Producer Price Index printed higher than expected at 0.8% month-on-month in January versus 0.3% in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 57.7 month-on-month in February versus 54.0 in January. A reading above 80 indicates manufacturing expansion, while below 50 points to a contraction.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (February 23–27)

For global credits, last week began with a risk-off move, following renewed geopolitical tensions coming out of the Middle East. Investors started demanding higher yields on US Treasuries, which was exacerbated after the US Supreme Court rejected President Donald Trump’s tariff proposal. Following this, profit-taking began for global credits. Bonds across tenors sold off, while short-term papers continued to see some buying interest. Over the weekend, more headlines of a US and Israel attack against Iran and the latter’s subsequent retaliation resulted in a selloff of assets across the region. Asia sovereign spreads are now 5 to 9 basis points (bps) wider, while Asia corporate spreads are 5 to 10 bps wider. Middle East clearly underperformed by an extra 10 basis wider for riskier and longer-dated bonds. On the other hand, credit default swap spreads are around 3 bps tighter to 6 bps wider.
  • The US initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 21 came in higher than expected at 212,000 versus 217,000 in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Core Producer Price Index printed higher than expected at 0.8% month-on-month in January versus 0.3% in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 57.7 month-on-month in February versus 54.0 in January. A reading above 80 indicates manufacturing expansion, while below 50 points to a contraction.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, the market will turn its attention to the latest US unemployment claims on March 5 at 9:30 PM Philippine Time, as well as the Change in US Nonfarm Payrolls and the US Unemployment Rate (month-on-month) on March 6 at 9:30 PM Philippine Time.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

Looking at the week ahead, given the recent weakness in risk appetite, the stage seems to be set for a larger spread widening move in the case of a miss. Furthermore, the Middle Eastern bonds are likely to see heightened volatility as the conflict there develops. The global credits trading desk views this to be a good opportunity to pick up select Middle East sovereign names such as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the Sultanate of Oman. Additionally, the desk remains better sellers on riskier names like Bahrain.
What to watch out for next?

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