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THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
equities-3may23-2
Consensus Pricing
Consensus Pricing – June 2025
June 25, 2025 DOWNLOAD
Two people discussing a chart on a tablet
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Update: Dovish BSP Narrows IRD 
June 19, 2025 DOWNLOAD
grocery-2-aa
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Prices rise even slower in May 
June 5, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
Bonds Market Movements Top Picks Issuer List

Market Movements

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As of June 29, 2025

What happened last week? (June 17-23) 

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (June 17-23) 

Credit spreads widened last week, in tandem with higher US Treasury yields, as investors sold bonds amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the inflationary impact of higher oil prices. Additionally, spreads on Saudi Arabia and Oman widened by 3-7 basis points (bps) week-over-week following US strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities. Retail flows were heavily skewed to buying front end papers. Overall, spreads widened by 2-8 bps. Asia investment grade bonds also experienced their spread widening 3-8 bps. Despite the risk-off environment, the Hyundai Capital America (HYNMTR) new issuance attracted strong participation, which saw a robust bid-to-cover ratio of 3.57. The new bonds also traded 0.10 points higher post primary issuance. We think the bonds performed strongly due to its attractive spread of more than 95 bps spread, which is higher than an average spread of 60-80 bps for an A-rating company. Philippine corporate bonds traded sideways, as dealers remained cautious amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Retail investors showed interest primarily in front-end and belly maturities throughout the week.
  • The US Federal Open Market Committee held its policy rate for the fifth consecutive meetings at 4.5% which is expected in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The US Retail Sales came in lower than expected at –0.9% vs –0.6% in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The US S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in slightly higher than expected at 52 vs 51 in a Bloomberg Survey
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (June 17-23) 

Credit spreads widened last week, in tandem with higher US Treasury yields, as investors sold bonds amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the inflationary impact of higher oil prices. Additionally, spreads on Saudi Arabia and Oman widened by 3-7 basis points (bps) week-over-week following US strikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities. Retail flows were heavily skewed to buying front end papers. Overall, spreads widened by 2-8 bps. Asia investment grade bonds also experienced their spread widening 3-8 bps. Despite the risk-off environment, the Hyundai Capital America (HYNMTR) new issuance attracted strong participation, which saw a robust bid-to-cover ratio of 3.57. The new bonds also traded 0.10 points higher post primary issuance. We think the bonds performed strongly due to its attractive spread of more than 95 bps spread, which is higher than an average spread of 60-80 bps for an A-rating company. Philippine corporate bonds traded sideways, as dealers remained cautious amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Retail investors showed interest primarily in front-end and belly maturities throughout the week.
  • The US Federal Open Market Committee held its policy rate for the fifth consecutive meetings at 4.5% which is expected in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The US Retail Sales came in lower than expected at –0.9% vs –0.6% in a Bloomberg Survey
  • The US S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in slightly higher than expected at 52 vs 51 in a Bloomberg Survey
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, the market’s attention will be on two key US economic indicators: Initial Jobless Claims, expected to decrease slightly to 243,000 from the prior 245,000, and gross domestic product quarter-on-quarter, which is anticipated to remain at -0.2%.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

Looking ahead, market participants will closely monitor the tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index released on Friday will be a key data point for assessing interest rate direction. Given the prevailing geopolitical risks and upcoming data, our preference remains for credits with maturities between three and six years.
What to watch out for next?

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