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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
economy-ss-9
Economic Updates
Quarterly Economic Growth Release: More BSP cuts to come
November 7, 2025 DOWNLOAD
A person pointing to a graph on a computer screen
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed catches up
November 6, 2025 DOWNLOAD
lifetyle-ss-5
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Steady and mellow
November 5, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
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Market Movements

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As of November 21, 2025

What happened last week? (Nov. 11 - 15)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (Nov. 11 - 15)

During the previous week, investment-grade (IG) spreads generally widened by 1-5 basis points (bps), following a decline in equities amid concerns over a potential AI driven market bubble. Trading activity remained subdued, influenced by a US holiday and a weaker macroeconomic backdrop. In the sovereign space, spreads were largely unchanged, with most trading activity seen in the 10-Year tenor, as market players covered their positions amid a rise in yields. Meanwhile, in the Philippine market, bond prices stayed flat to slightly lower (by up to 0.25 points), despite a sharp rise in US Treasury yields. This resilience is mainly due to tight supply conditions.
  • US Construction Spending grew 0.2% in August versus a –0.1% estimate in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US NFIB Small Business Optimism came in slightly lower than expected at 98.2 in October versus 98.3 in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The New York Empire State Manufacturing Index in the US came in higher than expected at 18.7 in November versus 5.8 in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (Nov. 11 - 15)

During the previous week, investment-grade (IG) spreads generally widened by 1-5 basis points (bps), following a decline in equities amid concerns over a potential AI driven market bubble. Trading activity remained subdued, influenced by a US holiday and a weaker macroeconomic backdrop. In the sovereign space, spreads were largely unchanged, with most trading activity seen in the 10-Year tenor, as market players covered their positions amid a rise in yields. Meanwhile, in the Philippine market, bond prices stayed flat to slightly lower (by up to 0.25 points), despite a sharp rise in US Treasury yields. This resilience is mainly due to tight supply conditions.
  • US Construction Spending grew 0.2% in August versus a –0.1% estimate in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US NFIB Small Business Optimism came in slightly lower than expected at 98.2 in October versus 98.3 in a Bloomberg Survey.
  • The New York Empire State Manufacturing Index in the US came in higher than expected at 18.7 in November versus 5.8 in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, labor market data will take center stage for investors, with the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Thursday in the US, following the recent 43-day government shutdown. Market participants will also closely monitor initial jobless claims and the US unemployment rate, as these indicators provide critical insight on the strength of the labor market and its implications for Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

Looking ahead, market participants’ focus is on the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the September NFP report. At current levels, the trading desk maintains a cautious stance, anticipating potential widening in spreads given the S&P 500’s elevated levels and persistent concerns over an AI bubble. We also prefer to keep positions light, in line with expectations of subdued flows through November and December.
What to watch out for next?

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