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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
economy-ss-9
Economic Updates
Quarterly Economic Growth Release: More BSP cuts to come
November 7, 2025 DOWNLOAD
A person pointing to a graph on a computer screen
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed catches up
November 6, 2025 DOWNLOAD
lifetyle-ss-5
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Steady and mellow
November 5, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
Bonds Market Movements Top Picks Issuer List

Market Movements

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As of November 16, 2025

What happened last week? (November 03 - 07)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (November 03 - 07)

Global credits mostly saw bonds move wider last week on risk-off headlines and weak sentiment. There weren’t many catalysts that came out at the start of the week, but players were keen to offer bonds. The widening move progressed later in the week following the release of the Revelio Public Labor Statistics, which provided markets an alternative view of US labor market dynamics while the Bureau of Labor Statistics is unable to publish any official reports due to the government shutdown. The data showed about 9,100 nonfarm jobs were lost in the US in October, which pushed credit spreads to further widen. Additionally, the widening move was also partly because issuers came out with additional supply in the primary market. With this, US Treasuries twisted steeper with 2-year papers down 1 basis point (bp) and 30-year up 5 bps. Sovereign spreads ended 2 -3 bps wider, while investment grade corporate spreads 3-7bps were wider. Credit default swaps, on the other hand, were unchanged to 8 bps wider.
  • The S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index in October was 52.5, a tad higher than the preliminary reading of 52.2. A reading of 50 indicates an expansion.
  • The US ADP Employment Change in October was higher than expected at 42,000 versus 30,000 in a Bloomberg survey
  • The University of Michigan’s US Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.3 for November versus 53 in a Bloomberg survey.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (November 03 - 07)

Global credits mostly saw bonds move wider last week on risk-off headlines and weak sentiment. There weren’t many catalysts that came out at the start of the week, but players were keen to offer bonds. The widening move progressed later in the week following the release of the Revelio Public Labor Statistics, which provided markets an alternative view of US labor market dynamics while the Bureau of Labor Statistics is unable to publish any official reports due to the government shutdown. The data showed about 9,100 nonfarm jobs were lost in the US in October, which pushed credit spreads to further widen. Additionally, the widening move was also partly because issuers came out with additional supply in the primary market. With this, US Treasuries twisted steeper with 2-year papers down 1 basis point (bp) and 30-year up 5 bps. Sovereign spreads ended 2 -3 bps wider, while investment grade corporate spreads 3-7bps were wider. Credit default swaps, on the other hand, were unchanged to 8 bps wider.
  • The S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index in October was 52.5, a tad higher than the preliminary reading of 52.2. A reading of 50 indicates an expansion.
  • The US ADP Employment Change in October was higher than expected at 42,000 versus 30,000 in a Bloomberg survey
  • The University of Michigan’s US Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.3 for November versus 53 in a Bloomberg survey.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, market participants are closely watching the scheduled release of US consumer price index (CPI) on November 13, which is expected to remain unchanged at 3.0%. Retail Sales Advance month-on-month will come out the following day forecast to be at –0.2%.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

Looking at the week ahead, it looks like CPI won’t be released as scheduled due to the government shutdown. Given this, the credit space does not expect much macroeconomic catalysts for the week. With not much going on, the desk expects spreads to just range trade from here. We also continue to prefer bonds in the 2–5-year area, as potential tariff inflation and the size of US borrowings could continue to pressure long-end papers.
What to watch out for next?

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