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The Gist
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Global Philippines Fine Living
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Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
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2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
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economy-ss-9
Economic Updates
Quarterly Economic Growth Release: 5.4% Q12025
May 8, 2025 DOWNLOAD
investment-ss-3
Economic Updates
Policy rate views: Uncertainty stalls cuts
May 8, 2025 DOWNLOAD
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Economic Updates
Inflation Update: BSP poised for a string of rate cuts as inflation cools
May 6, 2025 DOWNLOAD
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Bonds Market Movements Top Picks Issuer List

Market Movements

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As of May 18, 2025

What happened in the last week? (May 6 - 12)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened in the last week? (May 6 - 12)

The credits market saw a stronger weekly performance, as US President Donald Trump’s tariff deals spurred a rally across risk assets. The start of the week was soft, as investors opted to remain sidelined ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate-setting announcement and lingering geopolitical concerns in South Asia. With the Fed holding rates as expected and US Fed Chair Jerome Powell keeping a wait-and-see approach, the market quickly shifted to tariff headlines. The Trump administration announced it secured a trade deal with the United Kingdom, while stating there are “more to come.” Treasury yields spiked higher as tariff-related growth concerns eased, while stock indices pared much of their April losses. As the US and China managed to finalize a trade deal over the weekend, the risk-on action resumed. US Treasury yields were higher by 10 to 20 basis points (bps), while credit spreads tightened by 10 to 15 bps.
  • The US Final Wholesale Inventories printed lower than expected at 0.4% versus a market estimate of 0.5% month-on-month in a Bloomberg survey.
  • The US Unemployment Claims were lower than expected at 228,000 versus a market estimate of 231,000 week-on-week in a Bloomberg survey.
  • The US Trade Balance was higher than expected at -140.5 billion versus a market estimate of -136.8 billion month-on-month in a Bloomberg survey.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened in the last week? (May 6 - 12)

The credits market saw a stronger weekly performance, as US President Donald Trump’s tariff deals spurred a rally across risk assets. The start of the week was soft, as investors opted to remain sidelined ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate-setting announcement and lingering geopolitical concerns in South Asia. With the Fed holding rates as expected and US Fed Chair Jerome Powell keeping a wait-and-see approach, the market quickly shifted to tariff headlines. The Trump administration announced it secured a trade deal with the United Kingdom, while stating there are “more to come.” Treasury yields spiked higher as tariff-related growth concerns eased, while stock indices pared much of their April losses. As the US and China managed to finalize a trade deal over the weekend, the risk-on action resumed. US Treasury yields were higher by 10 to 20 basis points (bps), while credit spreads tightened by 10 to 15 bps.
  • The US Final Wholesale Inventories printed lower than expected at 0.4% versus a market estimate of 0.5% month-on-month in a Bloomberg survey.
  • The US Unemployment Claims were lower than expected at 228,000 versus a market estimate of 231,000 week-on-week in a Bloomberg survey.
  • The US Trade Balance was higher than expected at -140.5 billion versus a market estimate of -136.8 billion month-on-month in a Bloomberg survey.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

On the data front, markets will get an update on the US Producer Price Index and US Retail Sales on May 15 – Philippine time.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

At current levels, we prefer to pick up 5-year papers, although we prefer to wait for higher yields before scaling into positions.
What to watch out for next?

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