Analysis

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We expect sideways trading this week with an upward bias. We will also know how much inflation has increased in June and whether more Filipinos have become unemployed.

Higher rates, firmer oil prices, and lingering macro uncertainty keep credit investors firmly in risk-off mode.

Philippine headline inflation accelerated to 7.2% in September, matching the April print, which is the highest year-to-date.

Local bond market activity was concentrated in the new RTB issuance, though rising global rates and inflation concerns nudge yields broadly higher.

A bit of good news from the Middle East perked up investor mood. Locally, however, unemployment and inflation may remain elevated.

In the central bank's latest survey, Philippine households remain mindful of persistent economic pressures and uncertainty.

The Philippines’ trade deficit hit a more-than-year low in August as exports grew faster and import growth slowed.

Inflation likely stayed above target in September, driven by bad weather and sustained volatility in global crude prices.