escodo-lines w-full h-full

The Gist

A daily dose of market updates to guide your investment decisions.

flipping escudo

September 1, 2026

Today's Report

Your Morning Fix

<p><strong>GLOBAL: US Federal Reserve (Fed) Kevin Warsh said the central bank may be forced to tighten monetary policy furtherif persistent price pressures do not ease rapidly.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p><strong>Market impact: </strong>The US dollar strengthened following statements from Warsh. Meanwhile, equities declined, and Treasury yields climbed to a 19-month high as oil prices surged. &nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Metrobank projects the Fed to keep its policy rate steady in 2026,</strong> as the central bank assesses high inflation and stable economic growth.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>LOCAL: Department of Economy, Planning and Development (DEPDev) Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said household consumption is expected to see a gradual but modest recovery for the remainder of the year.&nbsp;</strong></p>

<p><strong>Market impact: </strong>The PSEi fell to the 5,900 level as the peso sank to a new historic low of 62.265 per US dollar. &nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Metrobank projects GDP growth to stay below historical averages through 2027,</strong> constrained by subdued private spending.&nbsp;</p>

Chart of the Day

China’s manufacturing slump eases

China's official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reached 49.8 in August, beating market expectations and rebounding from July's reading of 49.2. The slight improvement was driven by a pickup in demand, though the index remained below the 50-mark contraction threshold due to persistent weakness in services activity and broader economic imbalances. Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg

Image Block

Financial market updates

More Reads

Image

USD/PHP closes above 62 on late dollar buying

The USD/PHP exchange rate opened 16 centavos higher at 62.05 last Friday and jumped to morning highs of 62.25 due to the lack of supply.

The local pair initially fell back to the 62.15 area once agent supply appeared at 62.25 and 62.27.

However, renewed dollar buying driven by foreign bond outflows pushed the pair back up, with demand absorbing supply up to 62.27 before remittance-related flows scaled in.

The USD/PHP pair ultimately closed at 62.265, or 37.7 centavos higher day-on-day.

The current support levels of USD/PHP remain at 61.80/62.00, while the resistance levels are 62.30/50.

Image

Local GS trade rangebound on cautious sentiment

The local government securities (GS) market traded largely rangebound as investors stayed cautious ahead of US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, which could influence global market direction.

Trading activity was concentrated in the belly of the curve, particularly in FXTNs 7-68 (3Y) and 7-70 (4Y), as inflation concerns discouraged investors from taking on longer-duration exposure.

FXTN 7-68 (3Y) ended 2 basis points (bps) higher at 6.805%, while FXTN 7-70 (4Y) underperformed and closed 6 bps higher at 7.000%. Overall benchmark yields were little changed.

Markets are monitoring global oil supply risks from Russia-Ukraine and Middle East tensions, while attention also turns to next week's Bureau of the Treasury’s auction of Cash Management Bills and Treasury bills totaling PHP 52-80 billion.

Image

PSEi closes below 6,000 on rebalancing flows

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) ended 48.25 points lower at 5,956.33 last Friday as relentless foreign selling overwhelmed any support from Wall Street's overnight rebound.

Risk appetite remained firmly subdued following the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas rate hike, while persistent peso weakness and softer regional sentiment kept local buyers on the sidelines.

Offshore investors dominated the session, posting a substantial outflow of PHP 3.51 billion, reinforcing the defensive tone heading into the long weekend.

Investors rotated out of heavyweight names such as Bank of the Philippine Islands (-17.36 points), BDO Unibank Inc. (-14.13 points), and Jollibee Foods Corp. (-5.78 points).

Meanwhile, gains were observed in International Container Terminal Services Inc. (+6.89 points), Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. (+3.43 points), and Ayala Corp. (+2.65 points).

overview background

Model Portfolio

Choose from a range of model portfolios crafted to match your risk appetite and financial goals.

gist-model-port-redirect.png
Wealth Insights Team
Disclaimer

The report above is circulated for general information only. The opinions expressed are solely those of the contributors and are based on prevailing market conditions and public sources that are believed to be reliable. Metrobank and the report contributors/support staff do not make any guarantees or representation as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of this report.
 

The report may contain confidential or legally privileged material and may not be copied, reshared, redistributed, or published without prior written consent. Opinions or strategies contained in this publication may change without prior notice and should not take the place of professional investment advice or sound judgment on the part of the reader.