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The Gist

A daily dose of market updates to guide your investment decisions.

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July 13, 2026

Today's Report

Your Morning Fix

<p><strong>GLOBAL:</strong> Iran attacked a Cyprus-flagged container ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz. In response, the US hit over 140 Iranian military targets while also rejecting Iran’s claim that the strait will be closed off.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Market impact: </strong>Oil prices rose while US futures declined following renewed US-Iran strikes.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>With the Strait of Hormuz threat level elevated to “severe,”</strong> maritime traffic will remain suppressed. As of July 11, transit volume has plummeted to just 10 vessels, below the historical average of 138.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>LOCAL: </strong>Net foreign direct investment inflows plummeted by 58.8% year-on-year to USD 250 million, the lowest monthly level since June 2016. The plunge is largely due to a highly uncertain global environment.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Market impact: </strong>The USD/PHP exchange rate declined, aligning with broader US dollar trends, while the PSEi rose to the 6,200 level, supported by easing inflation and bargain hunting.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Near-term pauses in corporate expansion will continue to constrain gross capital formation, </strong>sustaining weakness in both durable goods imports and private construction.&nbsp;</p>

Chart of the Day

Japan producer prices pick up in June

Japan’s producer prices rose 7.1% year-on-year in June, the fastest increase since early 2023, indicating stronger inflationary pressures that could lead to further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The rise was mainly driven by higher costs for energy, including oil, gasoline, and electricity. Source: Bloomberg

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Financial market updates

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USD/PHP closes lower amid strong remittances

The USD/PHP exchange rate opened 3.5 centavos lower at 61.57 last Friday, in line with the dollar's decline overnight.

The local pair trended lower through most of the morning due to fixing-related dollar supply from banks, exporter and remittance inflows, and broader dollar weakness, reaching an intraday low of 61.48.

However, corporate demand later supported the pair, allowing it to recover, with importer demand largely offset by strong remittance inflows ahead of the weekend.

The USD/PHP pair ultimately closed at 61.515, or 9 centavos lower day-on-day.

The current support levels of USD/PHP remain at 61.15/40, while the resistance levels are 61.65/62.00.

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Local GS market sees recovery in buying activity

Local bonds opened Friday on firmer footing amid generally stable global markets. There was selective buying into weakness following the sharp sell-off over the past few sessions driven by the resumption of hostilities in the Middle East.

Activity gravitated toward the belly of the curve, with FXTN 7-70 (4Y), bringing yields lower by 11 basis points (bps) to 6.905%. Excess demand spilled over to the similar tenor RTB 5-19, closing 18 bps lower at 6.900%.

Demand for front end through belly bonds pulled yields 6-18bps lower along the curve, while the back end remained largely muted. FXTN 10-71 (7Y) traded at 7.125% ahead of supply at the BTr's reissuance on Tuesday.

Market focus turns to the upcoming FXTN 10-71 (7Y) auction, with our indicative range initially set at 7.075% - 7.200%. Broad sentiment remains closely tied to geopolitical developments and key inflation markers such as the US CPI due Tuesday night.

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PSEi rebounds on value hunting and better appetite

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) ended 62.83 points higher at 6,286.70 last Friday, as bargain hunting and improving risk appetite carried over from the morning session and spread across all the sectors.

Advancers comfortably outnumbered decliners, 102 to 82, on healthier value turnover of PHP 6.78 billion.

Foreign investors continued to provide support, posting net inflows of PHP 788.40 million while accounting for 50% of total trading activity.

The advance was broader than in recent days, with Ayala Land Inc. (+5.96%), Century Pacific Food Inc. (+4.50%), and Bank of the Philippine Islands (+1.98%) as the day’s most meaningful contributors.

Meanwhile, DigiPlus Interactive Corp. (-4.05%), Converge Information & Communications Technology Solutions Inc. (-1.71%), and RL Commercial REIT Inc. (-1.53%) declined due to profit-taking.

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The report above is circulated for general information only. The opinions expressed are solely those of the contributors and are based on prevailing market conditions and public sources that are believed to be reliable. Metrobank and the report contributors/support staff do not make any guarantees or representation as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of this report.
 

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