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The Gist

A daily dose of market updates to guide your investment decisions.

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May 14, 2026

Today's Report

Your Morning Fix

<p><strong>Kevin Warsh has been formally confirmed by the US Senate as the next Federal Reserve chair,</strong> assuming leadership in a period of heightened inflation and partisan contention over monetary policy.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Gold prices fell for a second consecutive session on Wednesday as inflation pressures from the ongoing Middle East conflict dampened hopes for interest rate cuts.</strong> Meanwhile, markets are also looking for cues from the forthcoming Trump–Xi meeting.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Parts of Luzon and Visayas experienced power outages on Wednesday after the National Grid Corp. of the Philippines issued red and yellow alerts,</strong> triggered by the unexpected loss of more than 5,500 megawatts of electricity capacity.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>Meralco slightly reduced electricity rates for May to PHP 14.3345 per kilowatt-hour, down PHP 0.0151 from April, </strong>marking the first cut after three straight monthly increases as regulatory measures helped offset higher generation costs.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. issued Executive Order No. 118 setting a PHP 50-per-kilo price cap on 5% broken imported rice for 30 days </strong>to stabilize costs and prevent market manipulation.&nbsp;</p>

Chart of the Day

India inflation edges up in April

India’s inflation inched up to 3.48% in April 2026 from 3.40% in March, driven by higher food prices after extreme weather damaged crops. Transport costs stayed relatively stable, helped by local oil production limiting the impact of global oil price increases. Sources: Bloomberg, Press Information Bureau, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation

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Financial market updates

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USD/PHP closes lower amid selling flows

The USD/PHP exchange rate opened unchanged at 61.48 on Wednesday, despite the higher dollar overnight on suspected light agent supply appearing at the start.

Banks managed fixing demand in anticipation of corporate demand, leading to the pair reaching intraday highs of 61.68 before supply at 61.75 appeared and prompted a round of selling in the market.

The pair initially settled in the 61.60 area before remittances and exporter flows accumulated at this level, pressuring the pair lower heading into lunch.

The USD/PHP exchange rate ultimately closed at 61.38, or 10 centavos lower day-on-day.

The current support levels of USD/PHP are 61.20/30, while the resistance levels are 61.75/62.00.

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Local GS market remains beleaguered by geopolitics

Higher oil prices and US Treasury yields driven by the US-Iran conflict continued to put pressure on global markets and peso government securities (GS).

Selling was most apparent in 1- to 2-year bonds, whose yields have increased 30 basis points (bps) since the start of the week.

The afternoon saw the USD/PHP exchange rate trend lower from intraday highs, which encouraged some opportunistic buying of 3- to 6-year bonds, with the recently issued FXTN 7-71 (5Y) closing 1.5 bps lower at 7.280%. Still, other bonds in the belly ended 3

Given the lack of near-term local catalysts, peso GS price action will largely be influenced by headlines coming out of the Middle East, as well as moves in the USD/PHP.

Despite elevated bond yields, we remain cautious on buying aggressively as the local macroeconomic backdrop remains unsupportive, given further potential monetary tightening and defensive bids in bond auctions.

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PSEi dips again after MSCI rebalancing

The Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) ended 25.20 points lower at 5,946.78 on Wednesday, as investors digested the results of the MSCI May 2026 Index Review.

Gains in Financials (+0.81%) offered some support, but these were outweighed by weakness in Industrials (-1.64%) and Mining & Oil (-1.29%).

Universal Robina Corp. (+2.98%), BDO Unibank Inc. (+2.95%), Globe Telecom Inc. (+1.76%), SM Investments Corp. (+1.58%), and San Miguel Corp. (+1.23%) were the index leaders.

Meanwhile, Converge Information & Communications Technology Solutions Inc. (-11.15%), DigiPlus Interactive Corp. (-8.18%), ACEN Corp. (-6.59%), Jollibee Foods Corp. (-6.25%), and GT Capital Holdings Inc. (-4.78%)

Value turnover picked up to an elevated PHP 7.34 billion, while foreign investors turned constructive with net inflows reaching PHP 285.05 million.

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Disclaimer

The report above is circulated for general information only. The opinions expressed are solely those of the contributors and are based on prevailing market conditions and public sources that are believed to be reliable. Metrobank and the report contributors/support staff do not make any guarantees or representation as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of this report.
 

The report may contain confidential or legally privileged material and may not be copied, reshared, redistributed, or published without prior written consent. Opinions or strategies contained in this publication may change without prior notice and should not take the place of professional investment advice or sound judgment on the part of the reader.

The Gist | Metrobank Wealth Insights