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MODEL PORTFOLIO THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
economy-ss-9
Economic Updates
Quarterly Economic Growth Release: More BSP cuts to come
November 7, 2025 DOWNLOAD
A person pointing to a graph on a computer screen
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed catches up
November 6, 2025 DOWNLOAD
lifetyle-ss-5
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: Steady and mellow
November 5, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
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Market Movements

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As of November 9, 2025

What happened last week? (October 27 - 31)

What to watch out for next?

Outlook

What happened last week? (October 27 - 31)

In the previous week, sentiment in the Global Credits market continued to improve with positive developments in US-China trade relations. The week started with better buying interest after US inflation [for what period] was slower than expected. Activity slowed midweek due to the holiday in Hong Kong and preparations ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision on policy rates. The US Federal Reserve cut policy interest rates by 25 basis points (bps), as expected, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell remarked that a December cut was far from a foregone conclusion. The hawkish cut was offset by headlines related to US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping’s highly anticipated meeting. Both countries agreed to reduce recently imposed tariffs and export controls, with Trump remarking that the US and China were “in agreement on many elements.” Overall, spreads were tighter by 3-5 bps.
  • The US Federal Reserve cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points from 4.25% to 4%, which is in-line with Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index, a barometer for the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in the Chicago area, came in higher than expected in October at 43.8 versus 42.3 in a Bloomberg Survey. A reading below 50 means a contraction.
  • The US Pending Home Sales, a leading indicator for housing activity, came in lower than expected in September at 0.0% month-on-month versus 1.2% in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?
What to watch out for next?

What happened last week? (October 27 - 31)

In the previous week, sentiment in the Global Credits market continued to improve with positive developments in US-China trade relations. The week started with better buying interest after US inflation [for what period] was slower than expected. Activity slowed midweek due to the holiday in Hong Kong and preparations ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision on policy rates. The US Federal Reserve cut policy interest rates by 25 basis points (bps), as expected, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell remarked that a December cut was far from a foregone conclusion. The hawkish cut was offset by headlines related to US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping’s highly anticipated meeting. Both countries agreed to reduce recently imposed tariffs and export controls, with Trump remarking that the US and China were “in agreement on many elements.” Overall, spreads were tighter by 3-5 bps.
  • The US Federal Reserve cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points from 4.25% to 4%, which is in-line with Bloomberg Survey.
  • The US Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index, a barometer for the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in the Chicago area, came in higher than expected in October at 43.8 versus 42.3 in a Bloomberg Survey. A reading below 50 means a contraction.
  • The US Pending Home Sales, a leading indicator for housing activity, came in lower than expected in September at 0.0% month-on-month versus 1.2% in a Bloomberg Survey.
What to watch out for next?

What to watch out for next?

This week, market participants are closely watching the release of key labor data, including initial jobless claims on November 6 and nonfarm payrolls on November 7. However, the publication of these reports remains contingent on the resumption of US government operations.
What to watch out for next?

Outlook

For the week ahead, the usual start of month jobs data are due to be released, although the continuing US government shutdown may again cause delays. At current levels, the trading desk thinks the higher absolute yields and positive trade developments will embolden underinvested players to put money to work. As such, spreads are likely to remain near year-to-date tights, and any widening will be bought in to. The desk continues to prefer 2-5-year papers due to our steepening bias.
What to watch out for next?

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