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Oil falls more than 5% on global economy worry, China COVID cases

January 4, 2023By Reuters

NEW YORK, Jan 4 (Reuters) – Oil fell by more than USD 4 a barrel on Wednesday, posting the steepest percentage loss in the first two trading days of any year for over 3 decades, as investors worried about fuel demand as the global economy slows and COVID-19 cases grow in China.

Brent futures settled at USD 77.84 a barrel, falling USD 4.26, or 5.2%. US crude settled at USD 72.84 a barrel, shedding USD 4.09, or 5.3%.

Brent has fallen by about 9.4% this week, its steepest two-day loss at the start of the year since January 1991, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

“Crude oil is trading lower on concerns around China COVID-19 and the Fed forcing a global recession… both demand destruction events,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.

Data from China showed that while no new coronavirus variant has been found there, the country has under-represented how many people have died in its recent, rapidly spreading outbreak, World Health Organization officials said.

The state of the global economy and central bank rate hikes also weighed on crude prices.

US manufacturing contracted further in December, dropping for a second straight month to 48.4 from 49.0 in November, in the weakest reading since May 2020, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said.

At the same time, a survey from the US Labor Department showed job openings fell less than expected, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve would use the tight labor market as a reason to keep rates higher for longer.

The Chinese government increased export quotas for refined oil products in the first batch for 2023, signaling expectations of poor domestic demand.

Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia could cut prices for its flagship Arab Light crude grade to Asia in February, having been set at a 10-month low for this month, as concern about oversupply continued to cloud the market.

OPEC oil output rose in December, a Reuters survey found on Wednesday, despite an agreement by the wider OPEC+ alliance to cut production targets to support the market.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)pumped 29 million barrels per day (bpd) last month, the survey found, up 120,000 bpd from November.

US crude oil stockpiles are likely to have risen by 1.2 million barrels last week, with distillate inventories expected to have fallen, a revised Reuters poll showed.

US crude oil inventories likely rose by 3.3 million barrels last week along with gasoline stocks jumping 1.2 million barrels, while distillate stocks fell, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures.

The Energy Information Administration will release its figures on Thursday morning.

(Reporting by Laila Kearney in New York; Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar, Muyu Xu and Stephanie Kelly; Editing by Bernadette Baum, Matthew Lewis and David Gregorio)


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