Oil settles flat, pares early losses as tariffs delayed

HOUSTON – Oil prices settled flat on Thursday, paring early losses of more than 1% as US tariff announcements were delayed until at least April, feeding hope that the world could avoid a trade war that would pressure economies and energy demand.

Brent crude futures settled at USD 75.02 a barrel, down 16 cents, or 0.21%. US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) finished down 8 cents, or 0.11%, at USD 71.29 a barrel.

Prices had tumbled earlier as a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine kept traders concerned that an end of sanctions on Moscow could boost global energy supplies.

US President Donald Trump ordered commerce and economics officials to study reciprocal tariffs against countries that place tariffs on US goods. Their recommendations are not due until April 1, allowing more time for negotiations with trading partners, market participants said.

“We saw a big recovery in prices on tariffs not going into effect until April,” said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group. “That will allow time for negotiation.”

On Wednesday, Brent and WTI fell more than 2% after Trump said Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed a desire for peace in separate phone calls with him. Trump ordered US officials to begin talks on ending the war in Ukraine.

The oil price decline over the past 24 hours looks to be driven by a change from worries about tight supplies to concern about sufficient supply, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, adding that some expect an increase in Russian energy exports.

Russian oil exports could be sustained if workarounds to the latest US sanctions package are found, after Russian crude production rose slightly last month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest oil market report.

The Ukraine news and Wednesday’s US oil inventories data offset higher US inflation numbers that could drive the Federal Reserve to take a cautious approach to interest rate cuts in 2025, said PVM analyst John Evans.

Russia is the world’s third-largest oil producer and sanctions imposed on its crude exports after its invasion of Ukraine nearly three years ago have supported higher prices.

ANZ analysts said on Thursday that oil prices declined on news of the potential peace talks because of “optimism that risks to crude oil supplies would ease”, pointing to the US and EU sanctions.

A build in crude oil inventories in the United States, the world’s biggest crude consumer, also weighed on the market. US crude stocks rose more than expected last week, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Erwin Seba, Enes Tunagur, Anna Hirtenstein, Emily Chow; Editing by David Goodman, Kirsten Donovan, Marguerita Choy, and David Gregorio)