March 16 (Reuters) – Safe-haven gold paused its rally on Thursday as traders positioned for more developments surrounding the banking sector crisis after Credit Suisse became the latest focal point.
Spot gold ticked 0.1% lower to USD 1,916.89 per ounce, as of 0648 GMT, after jumping more than 1% to USD 1,937.28 on Wednesday. US gold futures shed 0.5% to USD 1,922.00.
Slowing some of the selloff in equity markets, Credit Suisse Group AG said on Thursday it intended to borrow up to 50 billion francs (USD 54 billion) from the Swiss National Bank to boost its liquidity after the flagship Swiss lender’s shares slumped on Wednesday.
While investors are looking for a safe asset to park money after the banking crisis, triggering gold’s recent rallies, they’re now awaiting fresh cues, said Hareesh V, head of commodity research at Geojit Financial Services, terming the slight pullback on Thursday a technical correction.
Overall, gold was also buoyed by softness in the rival safe-haven dollar, making bullion cheaper for overseas buyers.
“Longer-term, gold’s strong average performance in the lead-up to and following both initial Fed rate cuts and US recessions keeps us biased for higher prices as macro uncertainty swirls,” JP Morgan analysts said in a note, forecasting gold to top USD 2,000/oz this year.
Bullion is considered a hedge against economic uncertainties, although higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
Markets are now pricing a 68.9% chance for a 25 basis-point hike at the US Federal Reserve’s March meeting.
Goldman Sachs raised its probability of the US economy entering a recession in the next 12 months to 35% amid the small bank stress.
Spot silver slipped 0.4% to USD 21.69 per ounce, platinum was 0.1% lower at USD 961.27, while palladium lost 0.5% at USD 1,455.03.
(Reporting by Kavya Guduru in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Eileen Soreng)