Gold hits record highs on safe-haven demand, US rate cut bets

March 28 – Gold prices hit a record high on Thursday, and logged their best month in over three years, propelled by US interest rate cut expectations and strong safe-haven demand.

Spot gold gained 1.2% to USD 2,220.85 per ounce as of 1:50 p.m. EDT (1750 GMT), logging its best month since July 2020, at a 9% increase, and a second straight quarterly rise. Bullion hit a record high of USD 2,225.09 per ounce earlier in the session.

US gold futures settled 1.2% higher at USD 2,238.4.

Traders are “position squaring ahead of the holidays and (increasing) trading activity into the month-end and quarter-end,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities, which has boosted gold prices.

Gold could rise further if the markets start to expect a deeper Fed cutting cycle, and has the potential to “hold on to these highs, but we do see signs of buying exhaustion emerging in the very near term,” Ghali added.

The prices are also gaining due to “the fact that there are still major geopolitical tensions globally,” which could push investors to turn to gold as a neutral reserve asset, said Everett Millman, chief market analyst with Gainesville Coins.

While there are some indications that inflation is running hotter than policymakers would like, that does not necessarily explain the high valuations for gold right now, Millman added.

The US core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index report is due on Friday, which could help investors gauge the Fed’s policy stance.

Traders are currently pricing in a 64% chance of a June rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

“The new & higher Gold floor is USD 2,000/oz which is symbolic of this new macro regime – Central Banks are tolerating ‘higher for longer’ inflation,” MKS PAMP wrote in a note.

Silver gained 0.7% to USD 24.82 per ounce, platinum rose 1.4% to USD 906.33 and palladium added 3% to USD 1,012.72. All three metals were bound for monthly gains.

(Reporting by Anjana Anil and Kavya Balaraman in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid and Shinjini Ganguli)