Gold drifts near record high amid Fed rate-cut optimism, geopolitical woes

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday, lingering near record highs, as safe-haven demand from rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and increasing bets on a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September provided support.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold was flat at USD 2,515.83 per ounce by 0027 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of USD 2,531.60 on Aug. 20.

* US gold futures fell 0.2% to USD 2,551.20.

* Israel issued new evacuation orders for Deir Al-Balah in the central Gaza Strip late on Sunday, forcing more families to flee, saying forces intended to act against militant group Hamas and others operating in the area.

* Gold is historically reputed for its stability as a favored hedge against geopolitical and economic risks.

* Meanwhile, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said, “the time is upon us” to cut interest rates, likely starting with a quarter-percentage point reduction in borrowing costs.

* Traders have fully priced in a Fed easing for next month, with a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and about 30% chance of a bigger 50-bp reduction, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

* A low interest rate environment tends to boost non-yielding bullion’s appeal.

* Data from the Commerce Department on Monday showed that new orders for key US capital goods unexpectedly fell in July, with June’s figures revised lower, indicating a slowdown in business equipment spending into the third quarter.

* Gold demand in top consumers India and China is expected to improve in the next few months, industry officials said.

* Spot silver edged 0.2% lower to USD 29.85 per ounce, platinum fell 0.3% to USD 959.24 and palladium was flat at USD 958.50.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0600 Germany GDP Detailed QQ SA Q2

0600 Germany GDP Detailed YY NSA Q2

1400 US Consumer Confidence August

(Reporting by Daksh Grover in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich)