Fed-fueled frenzy sends gold to uncharted territory above USD 3,700

Gold vaulted past USD 3,700 an ounce levels for the first time on Tuesday as rising bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week fueled a rally that has been stoked by safe-haven demand, central bank buying, and a weaker dollar.

Spot gold rose 0.3% to USD 3,690.59 per ounce, as of 10:49 am ET (1449 GMT), after hitting a record high of USD 3,702.95 earlier in the session. US gold futures for December delivery rose 0.2% to USD 3,727.50.

“Global growth uncertainty and geopolitical risk continue to keep haven demand high but the gold rally is being driven largely by anticipation of aggressive rate cuts from the Federal Reserve,” said Zain Vawda, analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.

Traders are pricing in a near-certain 25-basis-point rate cut at the end of the two-day meeting on September 17, with a small chance of a 50-bp reduction, per the CME FedWatch tool.

US President Donald Trump, in a social media post on Monday, called for Fed Chair Powell to enact a “bigger” rate cut.

Non-yielding bullion tends to do well in a low interest rate environment.

The dollar fell to a more than two-month low against rivals. A weaker greenback makes gold less expensive for other currency holders.

“Gold is surging on a sharply weaker dollar, which is at lows not seen since July,” said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader.

“Caution may be in the wind, though, ahead of the critical Fed decision tomorrow, so a bit of profit-taking shouldn’t surprise.”

Bullion, renowned as a hedge against uncertainties, has surged about 41% since the start of the year. It breached USD 3,600 per ounce on September 8.

Analysts say the rally has been driven by a potent mix of sustained central bank buying, intensifying safe-haven flows, a global shift away from the US dollar, which is also facing persistent weakness.

Spot gold surged 27% in 2024 and broke the USD 3,000 mark for the first time in March, as uncertainty over Trump’s trade policies drove investors toward the safe-haven asset.

Elsewhere, spot silver was down 0.2% at USD 42.64 per ounce, after hitting its highest level since September 2011 earlier in the session.

Platinum fell 0.5% to USD 1,394.00 and palladium eased 0.5% to USD 1,178.14.

(Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee and Kavya Balaraman in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva, Shailesh Kuber, and Nick Zieminski)