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THE GIST
NEWS AND FEATURES
Global Philippines Fine Living
INSIGHTS
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
WEBINARS
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
DOWNLOADS
948 x 535 px AdobeStock_433552847
Economic Updates
Monthly Economic Update: Fed cuts incoming   
June 30, 2025 DOWNLOAD
equities-3may23-2
Consensus Pricing
Consensus Pricing – June 2025
June 25, 2025 DOWNLOAD
Two people discussing a chart on a tablet
Economic Updates
Policy Rate Update: Dovish BSP Narrows IRD 
June 19, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
Markets 3 MIN READ

Back to regularly scheduled programming

September 26, 2023By Reuters
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Sept 27 – Normal service resumed.

Wall Street on Tuesday buckled under the weight of high and rising US bond yields, leading a steep decline in global stocks and risk appetite that looks certain to push Asian markets lower at the open on Wednesday.

A Bank of Thailand interest rate decision and the latest snapshots of Australian consumer price inflation and Chinese industrial profits are the highlights on the region’s economic and policy calendar.

Investor sentiment is weak and fragile.

The three major US equity indexes all lost more than 1% on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrials posting its worst day since March and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both on track for their biggest monthly losses this year of 5% and 7%, respectively.

The move in Treasuries was nowhere near as big as Monday’s. But another day of curve steepening, and 10-year nominal and real yields rising to new multi-year highs crushed stocks.

Volatility on Wall Street is finally picking up too, and at 19.0 the VIX ‘fear index’ of implied vol is closer to long-term averages. Only a couple of weeks ago it registered its lowest daily close since before the pandemic.

US bond market volatility – a key driver of global market stability and liquidity – had its biggest rise since early July. This will reverberate into Asian markets on Wednesday.

Investors in Asia will also note the significance of US crude oil’s rise on Tuesday after a few days of consolidation, not for the 1% rise in itself, but because it lifts the year-on-year price rise to almost 20%.

Bearing in mind that as recently as June oil was down 45% year-on-year, this is a remarkable turnaround and helps explain why longer-dated bond yields are rising so much.

In Asia on Wednesday, Thailand’s central bank is expected to leave its key policy rate unchanged at 2.25% and likely through 2024, marking an end to a year-long tightening cycle, although a minority of economists polled by Reuters still expect one final hike.

Despite inflation edging up slightly to 0.88% in August, it has been below the central bank’s 1% to 3% target range for four months in a row, suggesting the Bank of Thailand can stop hiking.

Add this to the US dollar’s global tear higher, the Thai baht has slumped to its weakest level since November. It is down almost 4% this month, on track for its second-biggest monthly fall in two years.

Meanwhile, there is still no sign of Japanese authorities intervening in the FX market to support the yen, which hit a new 11-month low closer to the 150 per dollar level.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:

– Bank of Thailand rate decision

– Australia consumer price inflation (August)

– China industrial profits (August)

(By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie Kao)

This article originally appeared on reuters.com

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