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The Gist
News and Features
Global Philippines Fine Living
Insights
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
Webinars
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
webinar-thumb-1108
Estate Planning: Building a Legacy for the Future 
November 8, 2022
Webinar-mobile-desktop-267x320-1
Outlook 2022: Recover. Restart. Rebalance.
March 31, 2022
View All Webinars
Downloads
grocery-shopping-cart-as
Economic Updates
November 2023 Updates: Upward tilt of inflation still a possibility 
November 22, 2023 DOWNLOAD
Commuters-aa
Economic Updates
3Q 2023 PH GDP Report: Upward bias for full-year GDP forecast
November 10, 2023 DOWNLOAD
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The Radar
An opportunity to add duration
November 9, 2023 DOWNLOAD
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Rates & Bonds 2 MIN READ

It’s going to be a great year for bonds 

In our latest issue of the Radar, our report on the rates outlook, we examine the trends that will influence the bond market this year.

February 14, 2023By EA Aguirre
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For those looking to create a more strategically resilient portfolio, bonds should play a big role this year.

Why?

Several reasons emerged when we did the research for our Radar, our monthly report on the rates outlook:

  1. No rate cuts are expected in 2023. To hit inflation targets of 2-4% for the Philippines and 4% for the US, rates are expected to reach 6.00% for the Philippines and 5.00-5.25% for the US.
  2. We believe the Philippine government will front-load its borrowings to support peso bond yields in the first half of 2023, with a lower bond supply in the second half to lower the fiscal deficit starting in 2024.
  3. We foresee the exchange rate reaching PHP 55.10 to the dollar by year-end, after factoring in the possibility of a US recession, a future monetary easing cycle, and the country’s
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