Gold falls on profit booking, investors eye Fed rate cut signals

Gold prices fell over 1% on Tuesday as investors took profits following a six-week high in the previous session, while they awaited key US economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week.

Spot gold lost 1.1% to USD 4,186.89 per ounce by 1:43 p.m. ET (1843 GMT).

US gold futures for February delivery settled 1.3% lower at USD 4,220.80 per ounce.

“It’s probably just a little bit of profit taking … the market’s biggest focus of late has been rate cut expectations and those remain pretty steady,” said Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

“We are in a continuation pattern that will eventually lead to an upside breakout and I still like USD 5,000 gold early in the new year.”

Recent data pointing to a gradual cooling of the US economy, coupled with dovish signals from Fed policymakers, has bolstered market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the US central bank’s meeting next week, with traders pricing in an 89% probability of the move.

Investors are also eyeing November ADP employment report on Wednesday and the delayed September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, due Friday, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Lower interest rates typically benefit non-yielding gold.

Central banks bought 53 tons of gold in October, up 36% month-on-month and the largest monthly net demand since the start of 2025, according to the World Gold Council.

Silver retreated from its record high of USD 58.83 hit on Monday, easing 0.1% to USD 57.90 per ounce. It has risen over 100% year-to-date.

“There were no new reasons for the recent price jump (in silver). However, the known reasons still apply, namely tight supply, which is reflected in low inventories on the Shanghai exchanges,” Commerzbank said in a note, adding it expects a further, albeit moderate, price increase to USD 59 in the coming year.

Platinum slipped 2% to USD 1,624.90 and palladium gained 2.3% to USD 1,456.86.

(Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Polina Devitt; Editing by Shailesh Kuber and Maju Samuel)