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The Gist
News and Features
Global Philippines Fine Living
Insights
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
Economy Stocks Bonds Currencies
THE BASICS
Investment Tips Explainers Retirement
Webinars
2024 Mid-Year Economi Briefing, economic growth in the Philippines
2024 Mid-Year Economic Briefing: Navigating the Easing Cycle
June 21, 2024
Investing with Love
Investing with Love: A Mother’s Guide to Putting Money to Work
May 15, 2024
retirement-ss-3
Investor Series: An Introduction to Estate Planning
September 1, 2023
View All Webinars
Downloads
economy-ss-9
Economic Updates
Quarterly Economic Growth Release: 5.4% Q12025
May 8, 2025 DOWNLOAD
investment-ss-3
Economic Updates
Policy rate views: Uncertainty stalls cuts
May 8, 2025 DOWNLOAD
grocery-2-aa
Economic Updates
Inflation Update: BSP poised for a string of rate cuts as inflation cools
May 6, 2025 DOWNLOAD
View all Reports
Rates & Bonds 2 MIN READ

It’s going to be a great year for bonds 

In our latest issue of the Radar, our report on the rates outlook, we examine the trends that will influence the bond market this year.

February 14, 2023By EA Aguirre
Man looking over buildings at night time in a city with superimposed images of numbers and charts

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For those looking to create a more strategically resilient portfolio, bonds should play a big role this year.

Why?

Several reasons emerged when we did the research for our Radar, our monthly report on the rates outlook:

  1. No rate cuts are expected in 2023. To hit inflation targets of 2-4% for the Philippines and 4% for the US, rates are expected to reach 6.00% for the Philippines and 5.00-5.25% for the US.
  2. We believe the Philippine government will front-load its borrowings to support peso bond yields in the first half of 2023, with a lower bond supply in the second half to lower the fiscal deficit starting in 2024.
  3. We foresee the exchange rate reaching PHP 55.10 to the dollar by year-end, after factoring in the possibility of a US recession, a future monetary easing cycle, and the country’s
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