Oil prices settle 1% higher on tepid US inflation data

BENGALURU, Nov 10 (Reuters) – Oil prices settled 1% higher on Thursday, ending lower for the first time this week, as tamer-than-expected U.S. inflation data offset worries that renewed COVID-19 curbs in China would hurt fuel demand.

After three days of declines, crude futures rallied after the inflation data supported investor hopes that the Federal Reserve would temper its interest rate hikes, which could support oil demand.

“(Consumer Price Index data) could be the turning point investors have craved,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.

“There’s still plenty of pain ahead but things suddenly look ever-so-slightly more positive,” Erlam said.

Brent crude settled 1.1% higher at USD 93.67, a USD 1.02 gain. US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.8% to settle at USD 84.67, or 64 cents higher.

The US dollar index also slid over 2%, as the sunny economic data lured investors away from the safe-haven greenback towards riskier assets including oil. A weakening dollar makes greenback-denominated oil less expensive for other currency holders.

However, China is battling a rebound in COVID-19 infections in several economically vital cities, including Beijing. Concerns on additional mobility restrictions are keeping a lid on crude price gains, said Giovanni Staunovo, commodity analyst at UBS.

In the manufacturing hub of Guangzhou, millions of residents were told to get tested on Wednesday.

Russia’s withdrawal of troops from Kherson in Ukraine also held price gains in check, said Matt Smith, analyst at Kpler.

Crude surged earlier this year as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine raised concerns about supply, with Brent coming close to its record high of USD 147 a barrel. Prices have since fallen on concerns of a possible recession. Brent has dropped more than 6% this week.

The market also came under pressure on Wednesday from a big rise in US crude inventories, up by 3.9 million barrels to their highest level since July 2021.

(Reporting by Shariq Khan in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Alex Lawler in London, Sonali Paul in Melbourne and Muyu Xu in Singapore
Editing by Kirsten Donovan, David Goodman, David Gregorio, Alexandra Hudson and Paul Simao)