Gold hits near 2-week high as soft US data lifts Fed rate-cut bets

Gold prices rose more than 1% to a near two-week high on Wednesday, driven by increased bets for a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve after recent US data suggested that the labor market was softening.

Spot gold was up 1.2% at USD 2,357.06 per ounce by 02:08 a.m. ET (1808 GMT). US gold futures settled 1.5% higher to USD 2369.40.

“The precious metals complex, as well as base metals, are rallying across the board on ADP and jobless claims data that reinforces the ‘softening economy’ narrative which will likely lead to the first rate cut in September,” said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals trader.

“Bulls are trying to get ahead of what many believe will finally be a weak payrolls report on Friday,” he added.

First-time applications for US unemployment benefits increased last week, while the number of people on jobless rolls rose further to a 2-1/2 year high towards the end of June, consistent with a gradual cooling in the labor market.

A measure of US services sector activity slumped to a four-year low in June amid a sharp drop in orders, potentially hinting at a loss of momentum in the economy at the end of the second quarter.

Following the US data, the dollar slipped to a two-week low, making gold more attractive for other currency holders, while the yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note slid.

The market now sees a 68% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Fed officials at their last meeting acknowledged the US economy appeared to be slowing and that “price pressures were diminishing,” according to minutes of the two-day session held on June 11-12.

Investors now look forward to the nonfarm payrolls report due on Friday for more clarity on US rate cuts.

Spot silver rose 3.4% to USD 30.51, platinum gained 0.8% to USD 999.12 and palladium eased 0.1% to USD 1,020.98.

(Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva and Alan Barona)